Global temperatures may rise 6 degree by 2100: study

Image
Press Trust of India London
Last Updated : Jan 21 2013 | 5:46 PM IST

The world is destined for dangerous climate change this century and it will now be almost impossible to keep the increase in global average temperatures within the 2 degree Celsius target up to 2100, the report said.

An analysis of how fast the major world economies are reducing their emissions of carbon dioxide from fossil fuels suggests that it may already be too late to stay within the 2C target of the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, the report found.

In order to keep the temperatures within the 2 degree Celsius target, which scientists believe might avert dangerous and unpredictable climate change, the global economy would have to reach a "decarbonisation" rate of at least 5.1 per cent a year for the next 39 years, the report said.

This has not happened since records began at the end of the World War II, according to Leo Johnson, a PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC) partner in sustainability and climate change.

"Even doubling our current rate of decarbonisation would still lead to emissions consistent with 6C of warming by the end of the century. To give ourselves a more than 50 per cent chance of avoiding 2C will require a sixfold improvement in our rate of decarbonisation," the Independent quoted Johnson as saying.

"It's time to plan for a warmer world... We have passed a critical threshold," he said.

"This isn't shock tactics, it's simple maths. We're heading into uncharted territory for the scale of transformation and technical innovations required. Whatever the scenario, or response, business as usual is not an option," Johnson was quoted by the paper.

  

*Subscribe to Business Standard digital and get complimentary access to The New York Times

Smart Quarterly

₹900

3 Months

₹300/Month

SAVE 25%

Smart Essential

₹2,700

1 Year

₹225/Month

SAVE 46%
*Complimentary New York Times access for the 2nd year will be given after 12 months

Super Saver

₹3,900

2 Years

₹162/Month

Subscribe

Renews automatically, cancel anytime

Here’s what’s included in our digital subscription plans

Exclusive premium stories online

  • Over 30 premium stories daily, handpicked by our editors

Complimentary Access to The New York Times

  • News, Games, Cooking, Audio, Wirecutter & The Athletic

Business Standard Epaper

  • Digital replica of our daily newspaper — with options to read, save, and share

Curated Newsletters

  • Insights on markets, finance, politics, tech, and more delivered to your inbox

Market Analysis & Investment Insights

  • In-depth market analysis & insights with access to The Smart Investor

Archives

  • Repository of articles and publications dating back to 1997

Ad-free Reading

  • Uninterrupted reading experience with no advertisements

Seamless Access Across All Devices

  • Access Business Standard across devices — mobile, tablet, or PC, via web or app

More From This Section

First Published: Nov 05 2012 | 5:55 PM IST

Next Story