"The import duties will ease some of the downward pressure on domestic steel prices from cheaper Chinese steel imports. Indian steel prices have dropped 27 per cent over the past 12 months owing to a 70 per cent increase in cheaper imports, one third of which came from China," it said.
Last week in a much needed relief for domestic producers, the government increased the basic customs duty (BCD) on certain long and flat steel products by 2.5 per cent.
The ratings agency said that higher import duties on carbon steel products are credit positive for Tata Steel (Ba1 stable) and JSW Steel (Ba1 stable) as they will support Indian steel prices and contribute to steel producers' profitability.
"As of the quarter ended March 31, 2015, cheaper imports led to a 6 per cent decline in realised per tonne prices at Tata Steel, versus a year earlier, and a 10 per cent decline at JSW Steel during the same period," it added.
Global industry body World Steel Association expects steel demand in India to grow by 6.2 per cent in 2015 and 7.3 per cent in 2016, compared with a decline in all other large emerging countries except Turkey, it added.
Moody's expects lower Indian steel prices will likely help in reducing the cost of manufacturing and infrastructure building, which are two important pillars of the government's pro-growth agenda.
Country's steel imports rose 71 per cent to 9.3 MT in 2014-15, data from the government showed, with most of the increase due to shipments from China (around 3 MT), it said.
Fitch Ratings said it does not expect Indian government's increase in customs duties on steel imports to alleviate much of the pressure on steel producers, which have been challenged by cheap imports and weak domestic demand.
The higher customs duty is likely to result in only a marginal increase (between Rs 500-1,100 per tonne) in the landed costs of imported steel products, which in the short term will help close the gap between domestic output and cheaper imports, it had said.
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