Gold holds tight range as investors await U.S. elections

Image
Reuters BENGALURU
Last Updated : Nov 06 2018 | 1:10 AM IST

By Swati Verma

BENGALURU (Reuters) - Gold inched lower on Monday as investors took some profits following a recent rally, but the metal traded within a narrow range as caution set in ahead of the U.S. congressional elections.

Spot gold was down 0.1 percent at $1,230.76 per ounce by 1:30 p.m. EST (1830 GMT), trading in an $8 range. U.S. gold futures settled down $1, or 0.1 percent, at $1,232.30.

"The market is just quiet ahead of the (U.S.) mid-term elections and people are waiting to see how it is going to play out after tomorrow," said Bob Haberkorn, senior market strategist at RJO Futures.

Analysts said some profit taking was also putting slight pressure on gold.

"Gold had quite a move over the past few weeks... we have seen a reduction in net-short positions because of uncertainties, but over the last week, we've seen a spurt again. So I think we're seeing some profit taking," ING analyst Warren Patterson said.

Investors will keep a close eye on the U.S. midterm elections which may fuel interest in bullion as a hedge against risk if the result sparks volatility in the wider financial markets.

Opinion polls show strong chances that the Democratic Party may win control of the House of Representatives in the Nov. 6 midterm elections.

"Should the Democrats surprise, we would expect pressure on the dollar and a move higher in the metals complex. Republican control of the both the House and Senate should create selling pressure," Peter Hug, global trading director at Kitco Metals, said in a note.

Bullion traders also awaited this week's Federal Reserve meeting to gauge the outlook for U.S. monetary policy.

"No one expects the Fed to raise interest rates this week. It is most likely going to happen next month. Gold is going to have a hard time rallying into the next Fed meeting in December," Haberkorn said. "If the Fed speech (this week) is as hawkish as it has been then why be long and fight it."

Speculators raised their net short position in gold to a three-week high in the week ended Oct. 30, according to U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission data. [CFTC/]

Also, highlighting investors' bearish sentiment toward bullion were holdings of the world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, SPDR Gold Trust , which fell 0.23 percent to 759.06 tonnes on Friday. [GOL/ETF]

Elsewhere, silver fell 0.6 percent to $14.63 per ounce, while palladium jumped 1.6 percent to $1,134.

Platinum was down 0.1 percent at $866 per ounce, after hitting its highest level since June 25 at $873.

The gains in platinum could chiefly be attributed to short covering, considering the CFTC data, which showed "net short positions have been almost entirely reduced," Commerzbank analysts said in a note.

(Reporting by Swati Verma and Sumita Layek in Bengaluru; Editing by Richard Chang and Chizu Nomiyama)

(Only the headline and picture of this report may have been reworked by the Business Standard staff; the rest of the content is auto-generated from a syndicated feed.)

*Subscribe to Business Standard digital and get complimentary access to The New York Times

Smart Quarterly

₹900

3 Months

₹300/Month

SAVE 25%

Smart Essential

₹2,700

1 Year

₹225/Month

SAVE 46%
*Complimentary New York Times access for the 2nd year will be given after 12 months

Super Saver

₹3,900

2 Years

₹162/Month

Subscribe

Renews automatically, cancel anytime

Here’s what’s included in our digital subscription plans

Exclusive premium stories online

  • Over 30 premium stories daily, handpicked by our editors

Complimentary Access to The New York Times

  • News, Games, Cooking, Audio, Wirecutter & The Athletic

Business Standard Epaper

  • Digital replica of our daily newspaper — with options to read, save, and share

Curated Newsletters

  • Insights on markets, finance, politics, tech, and more delivered to your inbox

Market Analysis & Investment Insights

  • In-depth market analysis & insights with access to The Smart Investor

Archives

  • Repository of articles and publications dating back to 1997

Ad-free Reading

  • Uninterrupted reading experience with no advertisements

Seamless Access Across All Devices

  • Access Business Standard across devices — mobile, tablet, or PC, via web or app

More From This Section

First Published: Nov 06 2018 | 12:57 AM IST

Next Story