Oil at four-year low as OPEC production cut seen unlikely

By Ahmed Aboulenein and Jack Stubbs

LONDON (Reuters) - Brent crude oil fell $2 to a four-year low under $76 a barrel as traders speculated that OPEC was unlikely to cut output to support prices at its Thursday meeting.

Gulf producers Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates said they had reached a consensus on oil output policies. Sources said those countries agreed not to press ahead with output cuts.

"The consensus is increasing that they will not provide any significant cut in this meeting," said Olivier Jakob, oil market analyst at Petromatrix in Zug, Switzerland.

Some fund analysts have said that oil prices could slide to $60 per barrel if OPEC does not agree to a significant output cut. Reuters analyst Wang Tao said he expected U.S. oil to drop to $63.85 per barrel over the next four weeks.

Benchmark Brent futures dropped by more $2 to $75.75 a barrel by 0830 GMT, the lowest level since September 2010. U.S. crude also lost more than $1 to a session low of $71.95.

The U.S. Thanksgiving holiday means lower liquidity, and hence the chance of increased volatility, Jakob said.

Another rise in U.S. shale oil production as well as increasing Chinese and U.S. oil stocks boosted available supplies and also weighed on crude values.

Consultancy Energy Aspects said that U.S. crude output averaged 8.86 million barrels per day in September, 1.12 million barrels more than in the same month last year, noting that this was "the fastest monthly growth since April".

Crude inventories in the United States rose by 1.9 million barrels in the week that ended Nov. 21, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration, about four times analysts' expectations for an increase of 467,000 barrels.

(Additional reporting by Henning Gloystein in Singapore, editing by William Hardy)