However, there are warning signs. The trade balance has narrowed partly because imports have fallen, as Table 4 shows. But non-oil import growth, tends to fall significantly less in the context of low oil prices, as that table shows. And the weakness of Indian export growth, including non-oil exports, in Table 5, is a real worry. It is worth noting that other peer exporters have not seen this sustained exports decline, as Table 6 reveals. Perhaps the rupee's value holds part of the answer. While the rupee has declined against the dollar, as Table 7 shows, the Reserve Bank of India has also paused on its reserve-building exercise since the beginning of this year, as Table 8 shows.
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