Will India qualify for the WTC final 2025 after defeat in Melbourne vs AUS?

Australia made a game out of a Test match, which headed to a draw after the second session, and took 2-1 lead in the five-match Test series, also called Border-Gavaskar Trophy, after winning the 4th Test against India at Melbourne Cricket Ground. 

 

While the Indian team still have a chance to qualify for the final at Lord's Cricket Ground on June 1, 2025, it all hinges on a win in Sydney and how Sri Lanka turn-up against against Australia at home.   ICC WTC 2023-25 points table and team rankings 

Pos	Team	Matches	Won	Lost	Drawn	NR	Points	PCT
1	South Africa (Q)	11	7	3	1	0	88	66.67%
2	Australia	16	10	4	2	0	118	62.11%
3	India	18	9	7	2	0	114	52.77%
4	New Zealand	14	7	7	0	0	81	48.21%
5	Sri Lanka	11	5	6	0	0	60	45.45%
6	England	22	11	10	1	0	114	43.18%
7	Bangladesh	12	4	8	0	0	45	31.25%
8	Pakistan	11	4	7	0	0	40	30.30%
9	West Indies	11	2	7	2	0	32	24.24%

 

 

Here's how India can still qualify for the WTC final 2025

 

If India wins in Sydney

 

If India manages to win the final Test of the ongoing series vs Australia in Sydney, they will finish with 55.26 percentage points and will need Sri Lanka to beat Australia by 2-0 if they want to play the WTC 2023-25 final against South Africa.

 

If India draw or lose in Sydney

 

A draw or loss in Sydney will see India eliminated from the WTC final race regardless of the Australia vs Sri Lanka series final result.