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Fitch Ratings on Thursday raised India's average annual growth potential till 2028 to 6.4 per cent, from 6.2 per cent estimated in November 2023. "The Indian economy bounced back more strongly than we expected at the time of the 2023 report, suggesting a less adverse "scarring" impact from the pandemic shock," Fitch said while updating the five-year-ahead potential GDP projections. In its updated forecast, Fitch upped India's average growth estimate for 2023-2028 to 6.4 per cent, from 6.2 per cent. It said Fitch Ratings has slightly lowered its medium-term potential GDP projections over the next five years for the 10 emerging market economies covered in the Global Economic Outlook (GEO). "Our new projection sees growth at 3.9 per cent on a GDP weighted basis, down from 4 per cent in our previous assessment published in November 2023," it said, adding that "Our unweighted average EM10 potential growth projection is 3.1 per cent, just higher than the 2023 report.
Fitch Ratings on Tuesday upgraded Shriram Finance Ltd's rating reflecting sustained improvement in standalone profile in recent years, particularly in funding diversity, risk management, portfolio quality and profitability. Fitch Ratings has upgraded India-based Shriram Finance Ltd's (SFL) Long-Term Foreign-and Local-Currency Issuer Default Ratings (IDRs) to 'BB+', from 'BB', with a 'stable' outlook. It said SFL has demonstrated steady performance since merging with its sister company, Shriram City Union Finance Ltd (SCUF), in 2022. The ratings also reflect SFL's time-tested and established franchise in used commercial-vehicle financing, seasoned management team, established risk controls and adequate balance-sheet buffers. India's robust medium-term growth potential and large, diversified economy should continue to support non-bank financial institutions' (NBFIs) business prospects and profitability in the medium-term. "The upgrade reflects sustained improvement in SFL's standalon
Fitch Ratings said it has affirmed 'BBB+' rating with stable outlook on Larsen & Toubro and stressed that the ratings indicate strong financial structure and sound financial flexibility of the company. "Fitch Rating has assigned India's Larsen & Toubro Limited (L&T) first-time Long-Term Foreign- and Local-Currency Issuer Default Ratings (IDRs) of 'BBB+'. The Outlook is Stable," the rating agency said in a statement on Tuesday. The ratings reflect the company's strong market position as a large global engineering and construction company with above-average profitability and solid revenue visibility. "We believe L&T's robust record of steady margins, which is backed by adequate risk management and diversification into stable and high-margin IT and technical services businesses, buffers its ratings against the inherent risks in the E&C (engineering and construction) sector," it said. The credit rating agency further said that the stable outlook reflects its view that .
Fitch Ratings on Monday said Indian banks' risk appetite through higher loan growth will remain a key consideration for their creditworthiness despite improved financial performance. It said asset quality pressures from the previous credit cycle are subsiding, creating a favourable business environment. This has bolstered banks' potential and appetite for growth. Bank loans grew by 16 per cent in the financial year ended March 2024, similar to FY23, exceeding the 8 per cent CAGR (compound annual growth rate) over FY15-FY22. Retail loans constitute around 10 per cent of system loans, and grew at a 20 per cent CAGR since FY21, fuelled by a shift towards unsecured credit to expand margins, the US-based rating firm said. Large private banks gained significant market share in the last credit cycle and continue to grow rapidly; state banks also returned to brisk growth but lagged large private banks, Fitch said in a report titled 'Risk profile weighs on Indian banks' viability ratings ..