Inflation Data

Economists support retaining the 4% inflation target, citing CPI alignment and the flexibility it offers RBI to manage supply shocks while sustaining growth

RBI Deputy Governor Poonam Gupta says retail inflation should remain benign, while India's underlying growth trend has steadily accelerated over four decades amid resilient macro fundamentals

India's revised GDP series will introduce major changes in inflation adjustment for consumption, investment and trade, shifting toward granular deflators and global SNA standards to reduce volatility

Inflation data, trading activity of foreign investors and global trends would dictate sentiment in the stock market this week, according to analysts. Besides, geopolitical developments and Q3 earnings will also guide market movement during the week. "This week features several important domestic and global triggers. In India, investors will closely track retail inflation data due on February 12 and foreign exchange reserves data on February 13, for insights into price trends and external sector stability. "The earnings calendar stays active, with key results expected from Titan Company and Mahindra & Mahindra, which may drive stock-specific action. Globally, participants will monitor a heavy US data calendar and performance of the Nasdaq Composite following its recent decline," Ajit Mishra, SVP, Research, Religare Broking Ltd, said. Geopolitical developments and their impact on commodity markets will also be closely watched, Mishra added. From the Q3 earnings space, Ashok Leyland,

Key GDP and inflation metrics will be revised in February as MoSPI updates base years, meaning several assumptions underpinning Budget 2026 will be recalculated soon after the speech

Besides cutting interest rates by 25 bps, the RBI also revised its GDP growth forecast for fiscal 2025-26 (FY26) upward to 7.3 per cent from the current estimate of 6.8 per cent

RBI Deputy Governor Poonam Gupta said MPC inflation and growth forecasts show no directional bias and outlined the central bank's multi-model forecasting approach

The central bank's inflation miss in the first three months of the year was 0.7 percentage points - the biggest gap in almost six years, and well above economists' projections

India's formal adoption of inflation targeting in 2016 marked a fundamental shift in the way monetary policy was conducted

The decision at the December MPC meeting will depend on a range of factors, and the incoming data until then will be crucial in shaping the consensus view

To judge how well FIT has worked, we must first ask how inflation was lowered

On balance, the proposed regulatory intervention will improve the ease of doing business for banks without losing sight of banking and financial stability

RBI surveys indicate consumer confidence improved in September 2025 in both urban and rural areas, with inflation expectations softening and manufacturers retaining optimism

The RBI performs multifarious functions, some of which are, in fact, conflicting. It isn't easy to spell out the KPIs (key performance indicators) to judge its performance objectively

In FY25, revenue grew an estimated 11 per cent in rupee terms to ₹4.4 trillion, supported by increased offshore workloads from cost-conscious global clients

Separately, Bank of Baroda in a report said the impact of GST reforms will be minimal as it accounts for Rs 48,000 crore or only around 0.1-0.2 per cent of the GDP

After scaling record highs last week, gold prices may face some short-term profit booking, with the precious metal's future direction dependent on upcoming global economic indicators like US and domestic inflation data, and the European Central Bank's policy meeting, according to analysts. Bullion traders will also closely monitor macroeconomic data, including the US Producer Price Index and speech of the European Central Bank's (ECB) President Christine Lagarde, they added. "Going into the week ahead, the focus will be on the inflation numbers from China, the US, Germany and India, along with American consumer sentiment data. Adding to that would be the European Central Bank's policy meeting on Thursday, as well as Chinese inflation data, which will be closely watched," Pranav Mer, Vice President, EBG - Commodity & Currency Research, JM Financial Services, said. On the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX), the October contract of gold surged Rs 1,131 or 1.06 per cent to touch a ...

The RBI has sought views on four key inflation-targeting issues. Maintaining the status quo is recommended, with the focus on creating conditions to consistently achieve the existing 4% target

Continuing with the FIT framework will ensure policy certainty in these uncertain times

The FTSE 100 barely reacted, trading 0.2 per cent lower on the day, roughly where it had been prior to the BoE decision, while two-year gilt yields fell to session lows at 3.886 per cent