After reasonable surplus monsoon in July, El Nino clouds over August rains

Extended break in rainfall may affect kharif yields

The southwest monsoon is poised to end July with a reasonable surplus following good rainfall across India, barring the rice-growing eastern region comprising east Uttar Pradesh (UP), Bihar, Jharkhand, and Gangetic West Bengal. From June 1 to July 30, the country has received 463.3 mm of rainfall, 6 per cent above the normal.
 

Scientists and meteorologists credited this to a combination of factors, including back-to-back low-pressure areas over the Bay of Bengal which moved in the westerly direction towards central and northern India, coupled with cyclonic circulation over the Arabian Sea, along with a favourably positioned axis of monsoon trough.