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Why the South keeps pulling ahead: Growth, demographics and development

Beyond the increasing complaints about their falling share of central tax revenues, the experience of southern states holds a lesson for the poorer regions wishing to bridge the gap

State expenditure, Fiscal deficit, state budget
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Despite a falling share in central devolution, southern states retain a far higher per-person fiscal capacity, widening development gaps with poorer states like Bihar and Uttar Pradesh. | Illustration: Ajaya Mohanty

Shikha Chaturvedi New Delhi

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Kerala’s Finance Minister K N Balagopal recently argued that successive Finance Commissions have chipped away at the state’s share of central tax devolution and grants, a complaint echoed across southern states. The headline figures lend weight to that grievance: The combined share of the five southern states in the total central tax pool — or devolution — slipped from 19 per cent in financial year 2010-11 (FY11) to 16 per cent in FY26; Kerala’s share fell from 2.4 per cent to 1.9 per cent over this period. 
To be sure, the total pool of devolution itself came down in proportion