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Ageing truck fleet rekindles commercial vehicle makers' revival hopes

However, industry experts believe that FY26 could mark a turnaround, with mid-single-digit growth expected in the MHCV segment as replacement demand begins to pick up

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The transition from BS IV to BS VI norms has substantially raised costs —monthly truck EMIs have surged by 50 per cent, alongside additional operational and maintenance expenses.

Shine Jacob Chennai

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After several sluggish years, India’s truck market remains in a challenging phase, with the average fleet age now at a historic high of 9 – 9.5 years — up from the earlier 7–7.5 years. This rise reflects a broader concern — weakening cyclical demand that has delayed fleet renewal across the industry.
 
However, a turnaround may be on the horizon. Industry experts predict mid-single-digit growth in the Medium and Heavy Commercial Vehicle (MHCV) segment in FY26, driven by an expected uptick in replacement demand. 
Tempering optimism, truck owners, however, strike a note of caution. The transition from BS IV to