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IT sector hit by tariffs, visas, AI, geopolitics: Can it weather the storm?

US tariffs, visa issues, geopolitical tensions, and AI disruption have plunged the IT services industry into an uncertain period

It industry
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In the 2023-24 financial year (FY24), Indians accounted for the largest share of H-1B visa holders, making up 71 per cent of all beneficiaries. The astonishing fee hike could increase remote sourcing of work. | File Image

Shelley Singh New Delhi

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India’s $283 billion information technology (IT) services industry, which employs 5.8 million people, is used to absorbing shocks — whether it is currency swings, visa issues, even the occasional see-saw in discretionary spending among its client base. But this year feels different.
 
Data points to stress across the business. Bengaluru-based consultancy UnearthInsight estimates that in the past 18 months, $350-400 billion of global technology procurement — 8-10 per cent  of the total — has shifted regionally or has been restructured due to geopolitics. Roughly $100 billion worth of deals have been impacted by the United States/European Union tariff risks. Several