As the United States Federal Reserve (Fed) and European Central Bank (ECB) get closer to start cutting rates, pressure will rise on the central banks in emerging markets to follow suit. This is not because growth is stalling. Au contraire, growth has consistently surprised to the upside across much of the global economy last year. Encouragingly, this growth resilience has carried over into 2024, with global growth tracking close to trend this quarter.
Instead, the reason commonly proffered for monetary easing is that real rates are prohibitively high. This may apply to some advanced economies that undertook the most aggressive
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