Business Standard

Let's get real about rates

Given myriad cross currents across inflation, growth and financial stability, monetary policy in 2024 will have to cross the river by feeling the stones

msme, economic growth
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Sajjid Z Chinoy
As the United States Federal Reserve (Fed) and European Central Bank (ECB) get closer to start cutting rates, pressure will rise on the central banks in emerging markets to follow suit. This is not because growth is stalling. Au contraire, growth has consistently surprised to the upside across much of the global economy last year. Encouragingly, this growth resilience has carried over into 2024, with global growth tracking close to trend this quarter.

Instead, the reason commonly proffered for monetary easing is that real rates are prohibitively high. This may apply to some advanced economies that undertook the most aggressive
Disclaimer: These are personal views of the writer. They do not necessarily reflect the opinion of www.business-standard.com or the Business Standard newspaper

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