India Inflation

CBDT raises Cost Inflation Index to 384 for financial year 2026-27

The Cost Inflation Index for FY27 will apply from April 1, 2026, though indexation is now available only in limited cases involving certain land and building sales

Costlier basket: WPI inflation hits a series-high at 9.9% in June

Wholesale inflation rose to a fresh record in June as food and primary article prices accelerated, outweighing a moderation in fuel and power inflation

Citi, others retract India rate hike calls as inflation may stay moderate

Cooling core inflation and a lower annual inflation outlook are prompting economists to scale back expectations of RBI rate hikes despite June's retail inflation uptick

India's inflation risks mount on renewed US-Iran tensions, El Nino

June inflation breached the RBI's 4% target for the first time in nearly 18 months, while rising oil prices and weak monsoon rains have added fresh uncertainty to the central bank's policy path

Why the monsoon could decide whether India's inflation stays in check

Food accounts for nearly 40% of India's CPI basket. That makes the monsoon one of the earliest signals of whether inflation stays under control or becomes a policy concern

Weak monsoon may cloud growth-inflation dynamics: RBI's June Bulletin

Recent policy measures likely to push up sovereign debt demand

Higher FY27 inflation target signals rate hikes to come later: Vijayakumar

The June monetary policy is a bold statement that addresses the present macro concerns even while striving to keep the resilient growth of the economy intact, says VK Vijayakumar

Datanomics: Petrol CPI likely to go past 100, first in new series

Recent fuel price hikes likely to push petrol inflation above 2024 base-year levels after prolonged period of muted CPI readings

April WPI hits 8.3%: Will rising wholesale pressure drive retail inflation?

India's wholesale inflation hit 8.3% in April, driven by fuel prices. While retail inflation remains lower at 3.48%, rising supply-chain costs may soon push consumer prices higher

Mild fuel price hike may not significantly upend household budget

We estimate the direct impact of this hike at around 8bps uptick each in the CPI inflation prints for May 2026 and June 2026, along with a mild indirect impact to the tune of around 10 bps, Nayar said

Fuel price hike shows global oil stress; Rupee seen in ₹96-98 range in FY27

India raised petrol and diesel prices for the first time since 2022 as global crude prices stayed elevated. Here's how the government, OMCs and consumers are sharing the oil shock

Morgan Stanley pegs India GDP growth at 6.7% in FY27

Sustained high oil prices, Morgan Stanley cautioned, could trigger non-linear and progressively larger impacts on growth, as the burden on households and firms intensifies over time.

India's April consumer inflation likely rose to 3.8% on higher fuel costs

Indian companies raised prices of LPG, widely used as a cooking fuel in households, in March after the West Asia conflict disrupted energy supplies, an effect economists said likely carried into April

Best of BS Opinion: Credit guarantee scheme will help small businesses

Today's opinion wrap explores the economic fallout of the West Asia conflict, digital governance reforms, telecom disaster preparedness and the growing role of AI in policymaking

Remain structurally bullish on India despite headwinds: Ben Powell, BlackRock

The long-term story as regards India -demographics, reforms, digitalization, and improving efficiency- remains intact, Powell said.

West Asia war impact managed well, but some concerns remain: Madan Sabnavis

More importantly, the inflation has been kept under control as of now with the government absorbing a large part of the crude oil cost increase.

Heatwaves, weak monsoon and oil surge may push India's inflation higher

This year's adverse weather conditions will likely push inflation above 5 per cent in the fiscal year beginning April 1, exceeding the RBI's projection of 4.6 per cent

Datanomics: Gas inflation rises, other fuel rates muted amid West Asia war

War-driven fuel shock hits India unevenly: LPG inflation spikes, petrol and diesel stay flat after tax cuts, while electricity prices continue to decline

Best of BS Opinion: West Asia risks, RBI stance, AI, GDP debate

From West Asia tensions and RBI policy signals to AI in drug trials, fiscal risks, GDP debates and India-China strategy, today's BS Opinion offers a wide-ranging view of key economic and geopolitical

India's economy projected to grow at 6.4% in 2026, 6.6% in 2027: UN report

India's economy is projected to grow at 6.4 per cent this year and 6.6 per cent in 2027, according to a report by the United Nations. The United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP) said in the report released Monday that economies in South and South-West Asia grew by 5.4% in 2025, compared to 5.2% in 2024, driven largely by strong growth in India. India's growth edged up to 7.4% in 2025, "supported by robust consumption, especially from the rural economy along with goods and services tax rate cuts, and export frontloading ahead of the United States' tariffs," the report, titled Economic and Social Survey of Asia and the Pacific 2026, said. It said in India, economic activities moderated in the second half of 2025 as exports to the United States declined by 25 per cent following the introduction of 50 per cent tariffs in August 2025. The services sector remained a key growth driver. The report projected India to register a 6.4 per cent growth rate