Asia shares, euro consolidate from lows

MSCI pan-Asia index rises 0.2%, after hitting lowest level since Dec, Nikkei opens up 0.3%

Image
Reuters Tokyo
Last Updated : Jan 20 2013 | 3:44 AM IST

Asian shares and the euro edged up from lows on Monday as surveys showing a lead in opinion polls for Greece's pro-bailout camps helped ease risk aversion and calm fears of a disorderly exit from the euro bloc.

The MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan inched up 0.2%, after hitting its lowest level since late December on Friday.

The pan-Asia stock index posted a third consecutive week of losses last week, shedding 0.8% for its longest losing streak in six months. The index has now wiped out all its gains for the year, having been up some 15% from end-2011 levels in late February.

Japan's Nikkei average opened up 0.3%. It posted its longest weekly losing run in 20 years last week.

Investors sold off riskier assets and fled to the safety of the US dollar last week on mounting concerns about Greece and instability in the Spanish banking sector amid a lack of immediate policy responses from European leaders.

Currency speculators raised long dollar positions to the highest level since at least mid-2008 while euro short positions rose to the highest on record, Commodity Futures Trading Commission data showed on Friday. Speculators also were net short on the Australian dollar, having cut their net long positions all month.

"In the absence of bold policy responses from Europe so far, we recommend being long the USD and JPY," Barclays Capital analysts said in a research note. "Should data or headlines surprise to the upside, safe haven longs may see some unwind, and we favour fading these moves," they said.

Trading is expected to be subdued on Monday amid a lack of key economic data and a US market holiday for Memorial Day.

US crude rose 0.5% to $91.31 a barrel on Monday while Brent was up 0.1% at $106.97 a barrel.

EURO ON GUARD

The euro was up 0.4% at $1.2561 on Monday while the Australian dollar inched up 0.1% to $0.9810, well above a six-month low of $0.9690 hit last week.

The euro fell to its lowest since July, 2010, on Friday at $1.2495, after the president of Catalonia, Spain's wealthiest autonomous region, said it was running out of options for refinancing more than 13 billion euros in debt due this year.

Sentiment has been weakening on fears that rising bank rescue costs could force the euro zone's fourth largest economy to seek an international bailout.

A government source said on Sunday that Spain may recapitalise its fourth-largest bank, Bankia, which last week asked for 19 billion euros in funding. with government bonds in return for shares.

On a positive note, surveys showed on Saturday Greece's conservatives have regained an opinion poll lead that would allow the formation of a government committed to keeping the country in the euro zone.

Uncertainty, however, will persist until Greece holds the crucial election on June 17, keeping markets guarded.

Switzerland is drawing up plans for emergency measures including capital controls in case the euro collapses, although it does not expect to need them and will continue to defend a cap on the franc in the meantime, the head of the central bank said.

Investors cut their risk exposure across assets. Data from EPFR Global showed in the week ending May 23, Emerging Markets Equity, Commodities and Energy Sector Funds and Europe Equity Funds all saw redemptions in excess of $1 billion while High Yield Bond Funds had their biggest outflows in over nine months.

*Subscribe to Business Standard digital and get complimentary access to The New York Times

Smart Quarterly

₹900

3 Months

₹300/Month

SAVE 25%

Smart Essential

₹2,700

1 Year

₹225/Month

SAVE 46%
*Complimentary New York Times access for the 2nd year will be given after 12 months

Super Saver

₹3,900

2 Years

₹162/Month

Subscribe

Renews automatically, cancel anytime

Here’s what’s included in our digital subscription plans

Exclusive premium stories online

  • Over 30 premium stories daily, handpicked by our editors

Complimentary Access to The New York Times

  • News, Games, Cooking, Audio, Wirecutter & The Athletic

Business Standard Epaper

  • Digital replica of our daily newspaper — with options to read, save, and share

Curated Newsletters

  • Insights on markets, finance, politics, tech, and more delivered to your inbox

Market Analysis & Investment Insights

  • In-depth market analysis & insights with access to The Smart Investor

Archives

  • Repository of articles and publications dating back to 1997

Ad-free Reading

  • Uninterrupted reading experience with no advertisements

Seamless Access Across All Devices

  • Access Business Standard across devices — mobile, tablet, or PC, via web or app

More From This Section

First Published: May 28 2012 | 8:47 AM IST

Next Story