Brent holds above $108 on Ukraine tensions

Oil was also supported by International Energy Agency's raising of its global oil consumption forecast for 2014

<a href="http://www.shutterstock.com/pic-33742723/stock-photo-many-barrels-of-oil-on-a-white-background.html?src=4E5JmKDWXyFhy3gm4lyKlQ-1-32" target="_blank">Crude Oil</a> image via Shutterstock
Reuters Singapore
Last Updated : Mar 17 2014 | 4:47 PM IST
Brent futures edged higher on Monday to hold above $108 a barrel as the deepening crisis in Ukraine led to supply disruption worries.

US benchmark West Texas Intermediate (WTI) gained amid the escalating wrangle that could see Washington and Europe impose punitive measures against selected Russian targets as early as Monday. This followed the U.S. rejection of Sunday's pro-secession vote in Ukraine's Crimea region.

Oil was also supported by the International Energy Agency's (IEA) raising of its global oil consumption forecast for 2014.

Brent crude edged up 2 cents to $108.23 by 0601 GMT, up from Friday's close of $108.21. US crude futures were up 19 cents at $99.08 against $98.89 on Friday.

"Both are being given good support on higher risk" due to escalating tensions with Russia, said Tan Chee Tat, investment analyst at Singapore's Phillip Futures.

Several other nations also said they did not recognise the vote.

"With the overwhelming pro-Russian vote in the region clashing with the West's assertions that the referendum is not valid, expect further geopolitical risk-related support this week," said ANZ Research in a commodities daily report on Monday.

There could be no early end to the situation in Ukraine between the West and Russia, said Jonathan Barratt, chief executive of commodity research firm Barratt's Bulletin in Sydney.

This standoff would continue to buoy oil prices, he said, although a compromise would be expected at some stage.

"The Crimea has always been Russian. I don't think it's in anyone's interest to take a hard line," Barratt told Reuters.

Once the situation is resolved "oil will come under pressure again," Barratt said.

The wrangle over Ukraine and the Crimea dampened Asian shares on Monday which hovered around one-month lows with Japan's Nikkei falling by 0.7 percent. European shares are expected to slip when they open on Monday, with Germany's DAX seen falling as much as 0.2 percent from a five-month low hit last week.

The IEA raised its forecast for 2014 global demand growth to 92.7 million barrels per day in a report on Friday amid an improving global economy.

Investors will also be eyeing the U.S. Federal Reserve's two-day meeting which starts on Tuesday. Policymakers are likely to support the Fed's earlier decision to cut bond buying by $10 billion a month.

Tensions between the Libyan government and protestors which have blocked oil production over the past few months, cutting oil production to little over 200,000 bpd from 1.4 million bpd in summer, have buoyed oil prices Tan said.

But any shortfall from Libya would be "more than made up" by exports from Iran, Barratt said.

South Korea's crude imports from Iran surged 104 percent in February to 1.1 million tonnes or 294,069 bpd, up 4.5 times from January and double from a year earlier, preliminary customs data showed on Saturday.

*Subscribe to Business Standard digital and get complimentary access to The New York Times

Smart Quarterly

₹900

3 Months

₹300/Month

SAVE 25%

Smart Essential

₹2,700

1 Year

₹225/Month

SAVE 46%
*Complimentary New York Times access for the 2nd year will be given after 12 months

Super Saver

₹3,900

2 Years

₹162/Month

Subscribe

Renews automatically, cancel anytime

Here’s what’s included in our digital subscription plans

Exclusive premium stories online

  • Over 30 premium stories daily, handpicked by our editors

Complimentary Access to The New York Times

  • News, Games, Cooking, Audio, Wirecutter & The Athletic

Business Standard Epaper

  • Digital replica of our daily newspaper — with options to read, save, and share

Curated Newsletters

  • Insights on markets, finance, politics, tech, and more delivered to your inbox

Market Analysis & Investment Insights

  • In-depth market analysis & insights with access to The Smart Investor

Archives

  • Repository of articles and publications dating back to 1997

Ad-free Reading

  • Uninterrupted reading experience with no advertisements

Seamless Access Across All Devices

  • Access Business Standard across devices — mobile, tablet, or PC, via web or app

More From This Section

First Published: Mar 17 2014 | 11:58 AM IST

Next Story