NBP’s profit will increase by about 10 percent in 2018 with growth led by loans to private companies and consumers, said Ahmad. Net income rose just 1 percent to 23 billion rupees ($199 million) last year, squeezed by the lowest policy rate in more than four decades. Ahmad -- who was a deputy governor at Pakistan’s central bank before he joined NBP -- predicts the monetary authority will raise its benchmark by as much as 0.75 percentage point in 2018.
However, Ahmad may struggle to achieve his plans for NBP, where unions prevail, said Raza Jafri, director of research at Karachi-based brokerage Intermarket Securities Ltd. “If it’s a private bank you can go ahead and do whatever you want,” Jafri said. “In this case, it has a political element.”