Guar gum is used in the fracking process for crude oil extration. When crude's price jumped to $147 a barrel in 2008, the United States revived its extraction in deepwells by using guar gum. India, the world's only producer, shipped a record 700,000 tonnes in 2011-12, of which 60 per cent went to the US. Processing factories mushroomed, taking the gum's installed capacity to around 1.5 million tonnes. With crude oil now at $40 a barrel, the demand evaporated and the industry is now left with around 0.7 mt of gum processing capacity.
"Foreign demand is unlikely to see an uptick till crude oil bounces back to $65 -70 a barrel. We can see at least a 50 per cent decline in guar gum export next year," said Uday Merchant, chairman, Lucid Colloids, a city-based gum producer and exporter.
Around 70 per cent of gum output finds application in the oil and gas sector. The rest goes for hardening and sustaining agents in the textile industry and elsewhere.
Guar seed and gum prices are now Rs 3,200 a qtl and Rs 5,700 a qtl, respectively, resulting in many processing units turning unviable. "Around 60 per cent of gum production capacity has shut down. Producers are completing past orders. So, the overall scenario is likely to worsen further in the months to come," said Ravikant Kanoongo, director, Hindustan Technosol, a Jaipur-based gum exporter.
Various estimates suggest seed output at 1.6 mt for 2015-16, a decline of around 10 per cent from 1.8 mt the previous year; it was a record 2.7 mt in 2013-14.
Seed output this year is estimated to decline by 50 per cent, on farmers shifting to millets in the major producing states of Rajasthan, Gujarat, Haryana and Madhya Pradesh.
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