"This governance issue can make stock correct in a big way if resolution is not found soon. When promoters started the airline they had an agreement to run business together and that agreement also expires in next few months. A new agreement has to be signed by both which also adds to more confusion," says AK Prabhakar, head of research, at IDBI Capital.
IndiGo has the market share of 50 per cent of domestic airline operating with 217 flights, with a consistent load factor of above 86 per cent. It has cash in balance sheet at Rs 15,308 croe and debt of around Rs 2,492 crore while net cash stands at Rs.12,816 crore. IndiGo is one of the best airline globally making consistent profit expect for FY19, Prabhakar added.
Despite the tussle, analysts at ICICI Securities remain positive on the road ahead for the company and have maintained a 'buy' rating on the stock with a target price of Rs 1,914.
"We now factor-in 30 per cent / 25 per cent increase in available seat kilometers (ASK) with fare growth of 10 per cent / 0 per cent in FY20/21E.The average fare would then be around Rs 4,284 for FY20, a level which is sustainable, especially considering improving route mix and better domestic supply situation. We expect 5 per cent improvement in CASK over FY19-20E," said Ansuman Deb, an analyst tracking the company at ICICI Securities in a report.
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