"Medium and heavy commercial vehicles demand is likely to stay robust but may slow down to 13-15 per cent given the higher base in FY16, this should help the auto component makers to clip at 8-10 per cent," Icra said in a report today.
"Over the medium-term, we expect margins of the auto-component industry to stabilise at 14-14.5 per cent levels, given expected bottoming out of commodity prices in the current year," Subrata Ray, senior group vice-president corporate ratings at Icra said.
With anti-locking braking system (ABS) becoming mandatory in 125cc+ two-wheelers from April 2018, domestic ABS market will see exponential growth. Coupled with this is the increasing safety awareness and the likely implementation of mandatory crash test for passenger vehicles which will drive ABS demand, the report said.
At present, ABS penetration is only 30 per cent in PVs and under 5 per cent in the two-wheeler segment. The ABS market could turn out to be a Rs 6,500 crore opportunity for suppliers by FY19.
Over the medium to long-term, growth in component industry will be higher than the underlying automotive segment growth given the increasing localisation by OEMs, higher component content per vehicle and rising exports, it said.
Overall demand from OEs and export segments remained subdued in FY16 though some support from aftermarket sales drove overall auto component growth of 3-5 per cent, the rating outfit added.
