IMF says Japan needs more work for 'durable' deflation exit

Image
AFP Tokyo
Last Updated : Aug 01 2017 | 11:32 AM IST
Japan's economy is accelerating but further structural reform is needed to finally leave behind years of on-off deflation, the IMF warned today.
The International Monetary Fund highlighted concerns over price movements and public debt as it noted the mixed record of Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's growth plan dubbed Abenomics.
Abe swept back to power in late 2012 on a pledge to reignite the world's third largest economy and the scheme's mixture of huge monetary easing, government spending and reforms has stoked a stock market rally and fattened corporate profits.
But there has been growing criticism about the plan's muted impact on the wider economy.
Consumer spending remains tepid and the Bank of Japan has struggled to lift inflation despite years of aggressive monetary easing, although Japan's prospects have been boosted recently on the back of strong exports and investments linked to the Tokyo 2020 Olympics.
The IMF's latest forecast published in July sees Japan's economy growing 1.3 per cent this year thanks to a continued pickup in trade and temporary fiscal support.
"The economy has expanded at a pace above potential the last five consecutive quarters, and unemployment has fallen to record low levels," the IMF said in a summary of its annual review of Japan's economy released today Tokyo time.
"However, inflation, public debt sustainability, and growth objectives remain to be secured," it said.
"Abenomics has improved economic conditions and engendered structural reforms but has not yet achieved a durable exit from deflation," it said.
The Bank of Japan last month once again delayed its timetable for hitting its target of two per cent inflation. It now expects to achieve the objective in the year to March 2020.
Officials had in 2013 originally set a two-year timeline when unveiling the bank's massive monetary easing programme as part of Abe's push to kickstart growth.
"The reform agenda should prioritise structural measures aimed at facilitating reflation (particularly labour market reforms to boost wages), followed by policies to lift potential growth," the IMF said.

Disclaimer: No Business Standard Journalist was involved in creation of this content

*Subscribe to Business Standard digital and get complimentary access to The New York Times

Smart Quarterly

₹900

3 Months

₹300/Month

SAVE 25%

Smart Essential

₹2,700

1 Year

₹225/Month

SAVE 46%
*Complimentary New York Times access for the 2nd year will be given after 12 months

Super Saver

₹3,900

2 Years

₹162/Month

Subscribe

Renews automatically, cancel anytime

Here’s what’s included in our digital subscription plans

Exclusive premium stories online

  • Over 30 premium stories daily, handpicked by our editors

Complimentary Access to The New York Times

  • News, Games, Cooking, Audio, Wirecutter & The Athletic

Business Standard Epaper

  • Digital replica of our daily newspaper — with options to read, save, and share

Curated Newsletters

  • Insights on markets, finance, politics, tech, and more delivered to your inbox

Market Analysis & Investment Insights

  • In-depth market analysis & insights with access to The Smart Investor

Archives

  • Repository of articles and publications dating back to 1997

Ad-free Reading

  • Uninterrupted reading experience with no advertisements

Seamless Access Across All Devices

  • Access Business Standard across devices — mobile, tablet, or PC, via web or app

More From This Section

First Published: Aug 01 2017 | 11:32 AM IST

Next Story