In Madhya Pradesh, Congress's challenge to reverse its fortune among Dalits amid Mayawati's threat

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Banking on the inroads it made in Dalit-dominated constituencies in Madhya Pradesh during last year's state elections, the Congress is hopeful about four such seats won by the BJP in 2014, amid a powerplay with Mayawati's BSP.
The Congress made significant gains in the four Scheduled Caste-reserved Lok Sabha seats of Bhind, Tikamgarh, Dewas and Ujjain, all held by the BJP, winning 17 of the 32 Assembly segments that make them up.
The BJP, on the other side, could manage only 13 seats but hopes to make a comeback in this elections. One each were won by the Samajwadi Party and the BSP.
However, the BSP which is supporting the Kamal Nath-led Congress government in the state is not happy after its Guna candidate, Lokendra Singh Rajput, switched over and vowed allegiance to Jyotiraditya Scindia last week.
Mayawati, who has a considerable sway in certain pockets of the state, has threatened the Congress, saying it will have to pay a "heavy price" for the Guna episode.
Lok Sabha seat-wise mapping of vote shares in the Assembly elections shows more votes were polled in favour of the Congress in three parliamentary constituencies -- Bhind, Dewas and Ujjain, while the BJP is ahead in Tikamgarh.
The Congress is yet to register a win from the Tikamgarh seat, which was carved out after delimitation of constituencies in 2008. BJP's Virendra Kumar Khatik, a Union minister, has held the seat for the last decade.
However, Khatik faces a formidable challenge this time as the BJP's margin in the constituency saw a downward spiral from two lakh votes in 2014 to about 37,700 in last year's state polls.
Congress has not won Ujjain seat of Malwa region since 1989, except in 1999 when Premchand Guddu, now a BJP member, pulled off a victory. In 2014, the BJP won the seat by margin of about three lakh. However, in the state polls, Congress got 1,400 votes more than the BJP in the seat.
Dewas, which came into being following the 2008 delimitation, is witnessing an interesting fight this time as both the BJP and the Congress have fielded non-politico candidates.
Congress has given ticket to folk singer and Padma awardee Prahlad Tipaniya against BJP's Mahendra solanki, who quit as a civil judge in Bhopal to fight the elections.
After winning the seat in 2009, the Congress lost to the BJP in 2014 Lok Sabha election by a margin of over 2.60 lakh votes.
The Congress has also reversed its fortunes in the Bhind Lok Sabha seat, which the BJP had won by margin of 1.59 lakh votes in 2014. The grand old party polled about 99,000 more votes than the BJP in the seat during the state elections.
"Congress performed well in last year's Assembly elections on seats under these four Lok Sabha segments. Dalits are fed up with the BJP due to its apathy towards them. The BJP's functioning is unconstitutional," Mahendra Bauddh, state Congress Scheduled Caste cell's chief, told PTI.
On Mayawati, he said, "It is being seen in the media at present. But will see when polling date nears."
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First Published: May 05 2019 | 11:10 AM IST