Bank of England prepared for wide range of Brexit outcomes - BoE's Carney

Image
Reuters DUBLIN
Last Updated : Sep 14 2018 | 4:35 PM IST

By Padraic Halpin

DUBLIN (Reuters) - The Bank of England and Britain's largest banks are well prepared for a disorderly Brexit, the central bank's governor Mark Carney said on Friday, amid reports he had warned it could trigger a house price crash.

British media had reported late on Thursday that Carney had told senior ministers earlier in the day that a chaotic Brexit could lead to house price falls of up to 35 percent over three years as well as spiralling interest rates.

Carney did not address this prospect directly in his speech at Ireland's central bank, though these projections are similar to scenarios the BoE told banks last year to ensure they had guarded against.

"The Bank of England is well-prepared for whatever path the economy takes, including a wide range of potential Brexit outcomes," Carney said, sticking close to previous language on preparations for Brexit.

"We have used our stress test to ensure that the largest UK banks can continue to meet the needs of UK households and businesses even through a disorderly Brexit, however unlikely that may be. Our job, after all, is not to hope for the best but to plan for the worst," he added.

British economic growth has slowed since June 2016's Brexit vote, though that has not stopped the BoE raising interest rates twice in just over a year, as it has judged longer-run prospects for non-inflationary growth had weakened.

The BoE said after its September Monetary Policy Committee meeting that future rate moves would depend heavily on how households, businesses and financial markets reacted to Brexit.

"The appropriate policy response is not automatic and will depend on the balance of the effects on demand, supply, and the exchange rate," Carney said on Friday.

In the meantime, uncertainty around Brexit had weighed on pay growth, although recent data still showed a pick-up, he said.

The bulk of Carney's speech focused on the long-term impact of technological change on employment.

"At present, there is little evidence to go on to judge the likely size and persistence of any increasing in structural unemployment. Monetary policy makers will need to remain alert to this possibility, updating their assessment as the transition occurs," he said.

(Writing by David Milliken; Editing by Andy Bruce and Toby Chopra)

(Only the headline and picture of this report may have been reworked by the Business Standard staff; the rest of the content is auto-generated from a syndicated feed.)

*Subscribe to Business Standard digital and get complimentary access to The New York Times

Smart Quarterly

₹900

3 Months

₹300/Month

SAVE 25%

Smart Essential

₹2,700

1 Year

₹225/Month

SAVE 46%
*Complimentary New York Times access for the 2nd year will be given after 12 months

Super Saver

₹3,900

2 Years

₹162/Month

Subscribe

Renews automatically, cancel anytime

Here’s what’s included in our digital subscription plans

Exclusive premium stories online

  • Over 30 premium stories daily, handpicked by our editors

Complimentary Access to The New York Times

  • News, Games, Cooking, Audio, Wirecutter & The Athletic

Business Standard Epaper

  • Digital replica of our daily newspaper — with options to read, save, and share

Curated Newsletters

  • Insights on markets, finance, politics, tech, and more delivered to your inbox

Market Analysis & Investment Insights

  • In-depth market analysis & insights with access to The Smart Investor

Archives

  • Repository of articles and publications dating back to 1997

Ad-free Reading

  • Uninterrupted reading experience with no advertisements

Seamless Access Across All Devices

  • Access Business Standard across devices — mobile, tablet, or PC, via web or app

More From This Section

First Published: Sep 14 2018 | 4:28 PM IST

Next Story