Euro zone bond yields set for biggest weekly rise in weeks

The trigger for those concerns has been data suggesting that price pressures are increasing

Eurozone bond yields set for biggest weekly rise in weeks on inflation jitters
Reuters London
Last Updated : Jan 06 2017 | 6:27 PM IST
Eurozone government bond yields were set to end the first trading week of the year with their biggest weekly rise in at least a month, a sign that a pick-up in inflation is starting to unnerve bond investors.

The start of 2017 has been dominated by investor worries that rising inflation could erode the value of bonds, pushing yields - which move in the opposite direction to prices - sharply higher.

The trigger for those concerns has been data suggesting that price pressures are increasing, a sharp contrast to a year ago when deflation risks loomed large.

Data on Tuesday showing inflation in Germany, the euro zone's biggest economy, touched its highest level in more than three years in December was followed on Wednesday by news that consumer prices in the bloc rose by 1.1 per cent last month, nearly twice as fast as in November.

In addition, oil prices hit an 18-month high on Tuesday and were trading close to those levels on Friday.

"The flash estimates of inflation in December, especially in Germany, surprised to the upside," said Chris Scicluna, head of economic research at Daiwa Capital Markets.

"Even though the ECB's policy is pre-determined until the end of the year, headline inflation will continue to rise, so the risks to yields are on the upside."

The European Central Bank's asset purchase programme runs through to the end of 2017.

Germany's 10-year Bund yield, the benchmark in the single currency bloc, was at 0.25 per cent, steady on the day and about 4 basis points higher this week - the first weekly rise in a month.

Many banks expect Bond yields to end the year around 0.8 per cent.

French, Irish and Austrian 10-year bond yields were all set for their biggest weekly rise in almost two months. Portugal's 10-year bond yield, meanwhile, held close to an 11-month high above 4 per cent hit on Thursday.

Euro zone bond yields are facing upward pressure from hefty supply as well - January is one of the busiest months of the year for debt auctions in the region.

France and Spain sold more than 13 billion euros worth of debt on Thursday, while Germany kicks off its bond funding for 2017 next week.

The rise in euro zone yields this week also contrasts with US Treasury yields, which fell broadly on Thursday as investors grew risk-averse amid uncertainty about the incoming Trump administration.

Focus was expected to turn to US economic growth prospects later on Friday with the release of non-farm payrolls data.
*Subscribe to Business Standard digital and get complimentary access to The New York Times

Smart Quarterly

₹900

3 Months

₹300/Month

SAVE 25%

Smart Essential

₹2,700

1 Year

₹225/Month

SAVE 46%
*Complimentary New York Times access for the 2nd year will be given after 12 months

Super Saver

₹3,900

2 Years

₹162/Month

Subscribe

Renews automatically, cancel anytime

Here’s what’s included in our digital subscription plans

Exclusive premium stories online

  • Over 30 premium stories daily, handpicked by our editors

Complimentary Access to The New York Times

  • News, Games, Cooking, Audio, Wirecutter & The Athletic

Business Standard Epaper

  • Digital replica of our daily newspaper — with options to read, save, and share

Curated Newsletters

  • Insights on markets, finance, politics, tech, and more delivered to your inbox

Market Analysis & Investment Insights

  • In-depth market analysis & insights with access to The Smart Investor

Archives

  • Repository of articles and publications dating back to 1997

Ad-free Reading

  • Uninterrupted reading experience with no advertisements

Seamless Access Across All Devices

  • Access Business Standard across devices — mobile, tablet, or PC, via web or app

More From This Section

First Published: Jan 06 2017 | 6:19 PM IST

Next Story