By Sujata Rao and Karin Strohecker
LONDON (Reuters) - South Africa's rand, Turkey's lira and Brazil's real suffered some of the steepest losses in the recent emerging-market rout. Their peers in the so-called fragile five, India and Indonesia, escaped with less damage.
The five countries got their name in 2013, as hints emerged that the U.S. Federal Reserve would end its easy-money policy. Bound together by sizeable current account deficits and reliance on foreign capital, they looked vulnerable to shocks such as a strong dollar and rising U.S. interest rates.
In the latest emerging-market sell-off, Brazil has lost as much as 15 percent and Turkey 11.5 percent since the start of the year, as this graphic shows:
http://link.reuters.com/kyj27v
"The poor performance of the Brazilian real, Turkish lira and South African rand reflect continued strains in each country's balance of payments," Capital Economics said in a recent note.
As this graphic shows, India has improved its current account deficits, becoming less reliant on foreign funds to prop up its economy. Indonesia also looks in better shape than Brazil, Turkey and South Africa:
http://link.reuters.com/kuk34w
India and Indonesia had elections last year that led to reforms which investors hope will invigorate growth. But in Brazil incumbent Dilma Rousseff was re-elected, and with the government engulfed in a corruption probe, doubt remains whether she can push through fiscal consolidation.
"Brazil has a kind of accumulation of everything that's bad for investment - an ugly growth forecast, large twin deficits and high inflation," said Patrick Mange, head of global emerging markets strategy for BNP Paribas Investment Partners.
In Turkey, pressure from President Tayyip Erdogan on the central bank to cut interest rates has weighed down the lira. South Africa has been dogged by electricity shortages, labour unrest and a gaping current account deficit.
The diverging fortunes have also hit foreign exchange reserves, as this graphic shows: http://link.reuters.com/vem34w
India and Indonesia have managed to beef up their reserves, but Brazil, Turkey and South Africa have all seen declines as they try to prop up their currencies and their economies.
(Reporting by Sujata Rao, graphics by Vincent Flasseur, writing by Karin Strohecker; Editing by Larry King)
You’ve reached your limit of {{free_limit}} free articles this month.
Subscribe now for unlimited access.
Already subscribed? Log in
Subscribe to read the full story →
Smart Quarterly
₹900
3 Months
₹300/Month
Smart Essential
₹2,700
1 Year
₹225/Month
Super Saver
₹3,900
2 Years
₹162/Month
Renews automatically, cancel anytime
Here’s what’s included in our digital subscription plans
Exclusive premium stories online
Over 30 premium stories daily, handpicked by our editors


Complimentary Access to The New York Times
News, Games, Cooking, Audio, Wirecutter & The Athletic
Business Standard Epaper
Digital replica of our daily newspaper — with options to read, save, and share


Curated Newsletters
Insights on markets, finance, politics, tech, and more delivered to your inbox
Market Analysis & Investment Insights
In-depth market analysis & insights with access to The Smart Investor


Archives
Repository of articles and publications dating back to 1997
Ad-free Reading
Uninterrupted reading experience with no advertisements


Seamless Access Across All Devices
Access Business Standard across devices — mobile, tablet, or PC, via web or app
