Gold down as strong U.S. yields offset weaker dollar

Image
Reuters NEW YORK/LONDON
Last Updated : May 07 2015 | 1:07 AM IST

By Marcy Nicholson and Clara Denina

NEW YORK/LONDON (Reuters) - Gold edged down on Wednesday, as the impact of higher U.S. real yields counteracted the effects of a sharply weaker dollar, soft U.S. data and doubts the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates at its June meeting.

Spot gold was down 0.2 percent at $1,190.01 an ounce by 3:10 p.m. EDT (1910 GMT), while U.S. gold futures for June delivery settled down $2.90 at $1,190.30 an ounce.

Gold, which pays no interest, was under pressure from a two-month high in the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield .

"U.S. real yields, which correlate the most to the gold price, have risen," Macquarie analyst Matthew Turner said.

"That's what's driving gold prices," he said, adding that he expected the Fed to raise rates earlier than the market currently anticipates.

The dollar fell 1 percent against a basket of currencies, after a sluggish U.S. jobs report added to the view that the Federal Reserve will not raise interest rates at a policy meeting in June, a factor that could boost demand for bullion.

"A weaker dollar is obviously a supportive factor," Danske Bank senior analyst Jens Pedersen said.

"The uncertain factor for gold is whether there will be more dollar strength on the back of a rate hike by the Federal Reserve, which we see happening in September."

Fed officials have given conflicting signals this week on the possible timing of any rate increase, providing no clarity on the issue.

Investors are now awaiting Friday's U.S. nonfarm payrolls report, which will give a better read of the world's largest economy and clues on the timing of a rate hike.

Spot gold has remained below the key $1,200 level since falling below it last week.

"We believe $1,200 represents an important support for gold due to the supply and demand responses that are triggered whenever the price falls below this level," Capital Economics said in a note.

"Admittedly, prices could break sharply below $1,200 if the gold market reacts particularly badly to higher U.S. interest rates."

In a sign the world's second-biggest bullion consumer was moving closer to creating a benchmark price, China conducted trial runs for the planned launch of a yuan-denominated gold fix last month, three sources familiar with the matter said.

Silver was down 0.4 percent at $16.46 an ounce. Platinum XPT=> fell 0.4 percent at $1,138 an ounce, while palladium was down 0.1 percent at $788.75 an ounce.

(Additional reporting by A. Ananthalakshmi in Singapore; Editing by Ruth Pitchford and Meredith Mazzilli)

*Subscribe to Business Standard digital and get complimentary access to The New York Times

Smart Quarterly

₹900

3 Months

₹300/Month

SAVE 25%

Smart Essential

₹2,700

1 Year

₹225/Month

SAVE 46%
*Complimentary New York Times access for the 2nd year will be given after 12 months

Super Saver

₹3,900

2 Years

₹162/Month

Subscribe

Renews automatically, cancel anytime

Here’s what’s included in our digital subscription plans

Exclusive premium stories online

  • Over 30 premium stories daily, handpicked by our editors

Complimentary Access to The New York Times

  • News, Games, Cooking, Audio, Wirecutter & The Athletic

Business Standard Epaper

  • Digital replica of our daily newspaper — with options to read, save, and share

Curated Newsletters

  • Insights on markets, finance, politics, tech, and more delivered to your inbox

Market Analysis & Investment Insights

  • In-depth market analysis & insights with access to The Smart Investor

Archives

  • Repository of articles and publications dating back to 1997

Ad-free Reading

  • Uninterrupted reading experience with no advertisements

Seamless Access Across All Devices

  • Access Business Standard across devices — mobile, tablet, or PC, via web or app

More From This Section

First Published: May 07 2015 | 12:51 AM IST

Next Story