Gold inches down as rate hike views take sheen off

Image
Reuters BENGALURU
Last Updated : Aug 30 2018 | 9:55 AM IST

By Sethuraman N R

BENGALURU (Reuters) - Gold prices inched lower on Thursday amid expectations of higher U.S. interest rates, but managed to hold above a key psychological level of $1,200 which acted as a strong support.

Spot gold was down 0.2 percent at $1,203.86 an ounce at 0329 GMT, after rising nearly 0.5 percent in the previous session.

U.S. gold futures were down 0.1 percent at $1,209.90 an ounce.

Spot gold has been trading in an $8 range for the past two sessions, with investors keenly watching the $1,200 level after the metal broke below that and hit a 1-1/2-year low of $1,159.96 early this month.

"There is certainly some ambiguity following last week's Jackson Hole symposium where (Federal Reserve Chair Jerome) Powell was a little bit dovish in investors' point of view," ANZ analyst Daniel Hynes said.

"Investors are grappling amid positive data coming through (from the United States) and that's why prices are stuck just above $1,200 at the moment without any sort of clear outlook, especially around the rates for 2019."

Data showing a higher-than-expected annualised growth in second-quarter U.S. gross domestic product cemented expectations for a rate hike next month, with a 96 percent probability, according to Fed funds futures.

Higher rates dent the appeal of non-interest-yielding gold, boosting the dollar in which the yellow metal is priced.

The dollar index against a basket of six major currencies stayed above a four-week low of 94.434 hit on Tuesday.

The greenback has been on the defensive this week with safe-haven demand for the currency diminishing in the wake of improving risk sentiment in broader markets following promising NAFTA negotiations.

Bullion investors' focus would now shift to the trade negotiations between the United States and China and the consequences, Hynes said.

Gold prices are heading for a fifth straight monthly fall, which would make it the precious metal's longest losing streak since early 2013. The metal has declined about 7.4 percent so far this year amid international trade disputes and the Turkish currency crisis, with investors preferring the dollar as a safe haven.

"While a (relatively) stronger dollar and U.S. economic growth are hurting the bullion's appeal, concerns that Turkey's financial crisis could spread may give the metal a reversal of fate," said Renisha Chainani, head of commodity and currency research at Monarch Networth Capital.

"Gold's short-cover risks are elevated. The setup, with prices near key support (at $1,200) and record-short net positions, is a recipe for a sharp rally."

Spot silver was down 0.2 percent at $14.69.

Platinum was down 1 percent at $792.90, while palladium was down 0.8 percent at $957 after hitting its highest since July 9 at $967 on Wednesday.

(Reporting by Nallur Sethuraman in Bengaluru; Editing by Vyas Mohan and Subhranshu Sahu)

Disclaimer: No Business Standard Journalist was involved in creation of this content

*Subscribe to Business Standard digital and get complimentary access to The New York Times

Smart Quarterly

₹900

3 Months

₹300/Month

SAVE 25%

Smart Essential

₹2,700

1 Year

₹225/Month

SAVE 46%
*Complimentary New York Times access for the 2nd year will be given after 12 months

Super Saver

₹3,900

2 Years

₹162/Month

Subscribe

Renews automatically, cancel anytime

Here’s what’s included in our digital subscription plans

Exclusive premium stories online

  • Over 30 premium stories daily, handpicked by our editors

Complimentary Access to The New York Times

  • News, Games, Cooking, Audio, Wirecutter & The Athletic

Business Standard Epaper

  • Digital replica of our daily newspaper — with options to read, save, and share

Curated Newsletters

  • Insights on markets, finance, politics, tech, and more delivered to your inbox

Market Analysis & Investment Insights

  • In-depth market analysis & insights with access to The Smart Investor

Archives

  • Repository of articles and publications dating back to 1997

Ad-free Reading

  • Uninterrupted reading experience with no advertisements

Seamless Access Across All Devices

  • Access Business Standard across devices — mobile, tablet, or PC, via web or app

More From This Section

First Published: Aug 30 2018 | 9:48 AM IST

Next Story