Interview - OPEC's Badri expects some oil price rebound soon

Image
Reuters LONDON
Last Updated : Jan 26 2015 | 9:30 PM IST

LONDON (Reuters) - Oil prices at current levels may have reached a floor and could move higher very soon, OPEC Secretary-General Abdullah al-Badri said on Monday.

"Now the prices are around $45-$55 and I think maybe they reached the bottom and will see some rebound very soon," Badri said in an interview. Benchmark Brent crude was close to $49 a barrel on Monday .

Badri warned that any OPEC oil supply cut would lead to spare capacity, a lack of investment and an eventual shortage and price spike.

"Suppose we cut production, and then we'll have spare capacity," he said in an interview. "Producers when they have excess capacity they will not invest.

"If they do not invest there will be no more supply, if there is no more supply there will be a shortage in the market after 3-4 years and the price will go up and we'll see a repetition of 2008."

"Maybe we will go to $200 if there is a real shortage of supply because of the lack of investment," Badri said.

More time was needed before any talk of a change in OPEC output policy, he said.

"It will take some time," Badri told Reuters. "It will take another 4-5 months and we will not see some concrete efforts before the end of the first half of the year due to the reason that we will see how the market behaves at the end of the first half of 2015."

Badri defended the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries' November decision to leave its output target unchanged.

"It was a collective decision," he said. "Everybody participated in the decision, there are some remarks and some reservation but at the end of the day all the ministers agreed to this."

Asked about the prospects for Saudi Arabian oil policy under a new king, Badri said: "Saudi Arabia is a stable country, is a stable government, and I think things will be normal."

Saudi King Salman was quick to retain veteran oil minister Ali al-Naimi on Friday, in a message aimed at calming a jittery energy market following the death of King Abdullah. [ID:nL6N0V219H]

(Reporting by Alex Lawler, editing by William Hardy)

*Subscribe to Business Standard digital and get complimentary access to The New York Times

Smart Quarterly

₹900

3 Months

₹300/Month

SAVE 25%

Smart Essential

₹2,700

1 Year

₹225/Month

SAVE 46%
*Complimentary New York Times access for the 2nd year will be given after 12 months

Super Saver

₹3,900

2 Years

₹162/Month

Subscribe

Renews automatically, cancel anytime

Here’s what’s included in our digital subscription plans

Exclusive premium stories online

  • Over 30 premium stories daily, handpicked by our editors

Complimentary Access to The New York Times

  • News, Games, Cooking, Audio, Wirecutter & The Athletic

Business Standard Epaper

  • Digital replica of our daily newspaper — with options to read, save, and share

Curated Newsletters

  • Insights on markets, finance, politics, tech, and more delivered to your inbox

Market Analysis & Investment Insights

  • In-depth market analysis & insights with access to The Smart Investor

Archives

  • Repository of articles and publications dating back to 1997

Ad-free Reading

  • Uninterrupted reading experience with no advertisements

Seamless Access Across All Devices

  • Access Business Standard across devices — mobile, tablet, or PC, via web or app

More From This Section

First Published: Jan 26 2015 | 9:09 PM IST

Next Story