Oil price hits fresh post 2009 lows as glut grows

Image
Reuters LONDON
Last Updated : Dec 08 2015 | 7:14 PM IST

By Dmitry Zhdannikov and Simon Falush

LONDON (Reuters) - Oil prices resumed their slide on Tuesday, with U.S. crude falling below $37 per barrel for the first time since early 2009, amid fears the world was running out of capacity to store crude as a global glut intensifies.

The global oversupply is being compounded by OPEC's failure last week to agree a production ceiling, with members Iran and Iraq promising to ramp up output and exports next year.

Benchmark Brent and WTI futures both fell more than 6 percent on Monday, and on Tuesday they hit fresh lows last seen during the credit crunch of 2008/09.

Brent futures were down 60 cents at $40.13 a barrel by 1315 GMT. U.S. crude was trading at $36.86 a barrel, down 79 cents from its last settlement.

"The lower levels are largely the result of a renewed focus on fundamentals now that the bulls' hope for an OPEC cut is off the table," JBC Energy said in a note.

The failure to agree production levels means OPEC core members are readying for new battles for share in the market already heavily oversupplied and consuming almost 2 million barrels per day less than it is producing.

"OPEC has lost control of the oil market and unless something fundamental changes that causes demand to overtake the oversupply in the market, the path of least resistance is the 2008 lows of $35-$38," said Michael Hewson, chief market analyst at CMC Markets.

If Brent falls below $36 per barrel, it would reach levels last seen in 2004 at the start of the so-called commodities super cycle.

Banks such as Goldman Sachs have said oil could fall to as low as $20 per barrel as the world might run out of storage to place unwanted crude. World oil stockpiles are at a record, according to the International Energy Agency.

In yet another indication of fierce market battles, trading sources said Saudi Arabia was shipping more crude oil to Asia over the last two months of the year.

On the demand side, China's crude oil imports for the first 11 months of the year rose 8.7 percent to 6.61 million barrels per day, with November crude imports growing 7.6 percent from the same month a year ago.

China's November sales of new vehicles jumped 17.6 percent over the same period.

With crude prices near record lows, China is seen as likely to double its strategic oil purchases in 2016, adding 70-90 million barrels to its strategic petroleum reserves (SPR).

(Additional reporting by Henning Gloystein and Roslan Khasawneh in Singapore; Editing by Keith Weir)

*Subscribe to Business Standard digital and get complimentary access to The New York Times

Smart Quarterly

₹900

3 Months

₹300/Month

SAVE 25%

Smart Essential

₹2,700

1 Year

₹225/Month

SAVE 46%
*Complimentary New York Times access for the 2nd year will be given after 12 months

Super Saver

₹3,900

2 Years

₹162/Month

Subscribe

Renews automatically, cancel anytime

Here’s what’s included in our digital subscription plans

Exclusive premium stories online

  • Over 30 premium stories daily, handpicked by our editors

Complimentary Access to The New York Times

  • News, Games, Cooking, Audio, Wirecutter & The Athletic

Business Standard Epaper

  • Digital replica of our daily newspaper — with options to read, save, and share

Curated Newsletters

  • Insights on markets, finance, politics, tech, and more delivered to your inbox

Market Analysis & Investment Insights

  • In-depth market analysis & insights with access to The Smart Investor

Archives

  • Repository of articles and publications dating back to 1997

Ad-free Reading

  • Uninterrupted reading experience with no advertisements

Seamless Access Across All Devices

  • Access Business Standard across devices — mobile, tablet, or PC, via web or app

More From This Section

First Published: Dec 08 2015 | 7:07 PM IST

Next Story