Oil prices edge down from 2015-highs, but set for weekly gain

Image
Reuters SINGAPORE
Last Updated : Apr 24 2015 | 1:28 PM IST

By Jacob Gronholt-Pedersen

SINGAPORE (Reuters) - Oil prices held steady on Friday near 2015-highs reached the session before, remaining on track for weekly gains after renewed air strikes in Yemen stoked concerns on the security of Middle East oil shipments.

Crude prices on both sides of the Atlantic have surged almost $10 a barrel this month amid rising tension in the Middle East, while slowing U.S. production growth and signs of stronger global demand have also provided support.

Brent crude for June delivery had climbed 22 cents to $65.09 a barrel by 0706 GMT, after settling up $2.12 on Thursday. The benchmark touched its highest since Dec. 10 at $65.58 on Thursday.

U.S. crude for June delivery rose 8 cents to $57.82 a barrel, after settling up $1.58. The front-month contract hit a 2015-high of $58.41 on Thursday and is on course for its sixth straight weekly gain.

The rise in futures prices over the last month shows a growing disconnect between oil producers and Wall Street over when slumping oil prices will recover, with the financial community betting that the oil price cycle may turn more quickly than the industry expects.

"Equity markets are already looking for the upside," said Scott Key, chief executive of IHS.

Meanwhile, producers are bracing for oil to remain at about $60 for as long as the next five years or so.

"One can hope for $75 oil but I think one has to plan for a lower price," said Stephen Chazen, CEO of Occidental Petroleum Corp . He expects oil to remain at $60.

On Friday, Societe Generale raised its 2015 average price forecast for Brent by $4.33 to $59.54 a barrel and for U.S. crude by $4.28 to $53.62 a barrel.

The spike in prices on Thursday came as warplanes from a Saudi-led coalition pounded Houthi militiamen and military bases with at least 20 air strikes throughout Yemen, despite Riyadh saying earlier it was winding down its campaign.

The Bab el-Mandeb Strait on Yemen's southern coast controls access to the Red Sea, Suez Canal and the ports of western Saudi Arabia, the world's biggest crude exporter.

Saudi Arabia is producing at near record levels at above 10 million barrels per day as it seeks to retain market share and force higher-cost producers to cut supply.

Estimates by the most watched government forecasters put OPEC production at around 2 million barrels per day above demand for its oil in the first half of 2015.

International oil prices are also drawing support from a weaker dollar after underwhelming U.S. economic news. A softer greenback makes dollar-denominated commodities like oil cheaper for holders of other currencies.

(Editing by Himani Sarkar and Joseph Radford)

*Subscribe to Business Standard digital and get complimentary access to The New York Times

Smart Quarterly

₹900

3 Months

₹300/Month

SAVE 25%

Smart Essential

₹2,700

1 Year

₹225/Month

SAVE 46%
*Complimentary New York Times access for the 2nd year will be given after 12 months

Super Saver

₹3,900

2 Years

₹162/Month

Subscribe

Renews automatically, cancel anytime

Here’s what’s included in our digital subscription plans

Exclusive premium stories online

  • Over 30 premium stories daily, handpicked by our editors

Complimentary Access to The New York Times

  • News, Games, Cooking, Audio, Wirecutter & The Athletic

Business Standard Epaper

  • Digital replica of our daily newspaper — with options to read, save, and share

Curated Newsletters

  • Insights on markets, finance, politics, tech, and more delivered to your inbox

Market Analysis & Investment Insights

  • In-depth market analysis & insights with access to The Smart Investor

Archives

  • Repository of articles and publications dating back to 1997

Ad-free Reading

  • Uninterrupted reading experience with no advertisements

Seamless Access Across All Devices

  • Access Business Standard across devices — mobile, tablet, or PC, via web or app

More From This Section

First Published: Apr 24 2015 | 1:13 PM IST

Next Story