Oil rises towards top of recent trading range as OPEC cuts output

Image
Reuters LONDON
Last Updated : Feb 21 2017 | 3:22 PM IST

By Christopher Johnson

LONDON (Reuters) - Oil rose on Tuesday after exchange data showed hedge funds placing record bets on North Sea and U.S. crude as OPEC production cuts tightened supply.

Benchmark Brent futures were up 50 cents at $56.58 a barrel by 0930 GMT. U.S. light crude was up 50 cents at $53.90, having risen by about 0.5 percent in a shortened session on Monday because of a U.S. national holiday.

Money managers now hold the highest volume of net long Brent futures and options on record, InterContinental Exchange data showed on Monday, betting on higher prices to come as OPEC and other key exporters reduce production.

Net long U.S. crude futures and options positions are also at a record high, U.S. data showed on Friday.

Members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and other producers outside the group agreed in November to cut output by about 1.8 million barrels per day (bpd) in an effort to drain a global glut that has depressed prices for more than two years.

So far OPEC appears to be sticking to the deal and production has been falling, with speculative investors moving into the market in increasing numbers.

Brent and U.S. crude have both moved towards the top of recent trading ranges, raising some concern that prices could fall quickly if this speculative money leaves the market.

"This prolonged and increasing overcrowding of speculative net longs should be a cause for concern," said Jonathan Chan, an investment analyst at Phillip Futures.

"Should there come a time when these speculative positions decide to unwind, oil prices will be in for a significant correction."

Despite signs that OPEC's agreement is holding, inventory levels are still very high in many parts of the world.

U.S. crude oil and gasoline inventories soared to record highs last week as refineries cut output and gasoline demand softened. [EIA/S]

More evidence of the state of the U.S. oil market will come on Thursday when the U.S. Department of Energy publishes stocks figures. Those numbers could be a catalyst for a market move, said Carsten Fritsch, analyst at Commerzbank in Frankfurt:

"Until then, lack of bearish news seems to be enough to push prices higher," Fritsch said.

(Additional reporting by Aaron Sheldrick in Tokyo; Editing by David Goodman)

Disclaimer: No Business Standard Journalist was involved in creation of this content

*Subscribe to Business Standard digital and get complimentary access to The New York Times

Smart Quarterly

₹900

3 Months

₹300/Month

SAVE 25%

Smart Essential

₹2,700

1 Year

₹225/Month

SAVE 46%
*Complimentary New York Times access for the 2nd year will be given after 12 months

Super Saver

₹3,900

2 Years

₹162/Month

Subscribe

Renews automatically, cancel anytime

Here’s what’s included in our digital subscription plans

Exclusive premium stories online

  • Over 30 premium stories daily, handpicked by our editors

Complimentary Access to The New York Times

  • News, Games, Cooking, Audio, Wirecutter & The Athletic

Business Standard Epaper

  • Digital replica of our daily newspaper — with options to read, save, and share

Curated Newsletters

  • Insights on markets, finance, politics, tech, and more delivered to your inbox

Market Analysis & Investment Insights

  • In-depth market analysis & insights with access to The Smart Investor

Archives

  • Repository of articles and publications dating back to 1997

Ad-free Reading

  • Uninterrupted reading experience with no advertisements

Seamless Access Across All Devices

  • Access Business Standard across devices — mobile, tablet, or PC, via web or app

More From This Section

First Published: Feb 21 2017 | 3:11 PM IST

Next Story