Wall Street eases, dollar up on March Fed rate hike bets

Fed Guv Lael Brainard said an improving global economy, solid US recovery would help to raise rates

Photo: istock
The economy has become too volatile and uncertain. Perhaps the dissatisfaction is driven by globalisation, automation and the decline of employers' implicit promises to offer workers jobs through thick and thin Photo: istock
Reuters New York
Last Updated : Mar 02 2017 | 10:41 PM IST
Wall Street fell as investors took a breather on Thursday after a record day, while the dollar strengthened on positive US data and growing expectations the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates this month.

Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard said late on Wednesday that an improving global economy and a solid US recovery meant it would be "appropriate soon" to raise rates.

The comments followed hawkish statements from two central bankers earlier in the week. Fed Chair Janet Yellen is due to speak on the economic outlook in Chicago on Friday.

On top of this, data showed the number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits fell to near a 44-year-low last week, pointing to further tightening of the labor market.

"We've had this great run of data in the US and the expectation on a March rate move has gone up," Steven Englander, global head of foreign exchange strategy at Citigroup in New York.

Federal fund futures prices suggest markets now see a 75-per cent chance of a 25 basis point hike in March up from 66 per cent on Wednesday and from 35 per cent on Tuesday, according to CME Group's FedWatch tool.

At 10:38 am ET, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 17.21 points, or 0.08 per cent, to 21,098.34, the S&P 500 had lost 6.98 points, or 0.29 per cent, to 2,388.98 and the Nasdaq Composite had dropped 19.73 points, or 0.33 per cent, to 5,884.30.

The FTSEurofirst 300 index rose 0.12 per cent but MSCI's global stocks index was down 0.2 per cent after touching another intraday record high.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan fell 0.05 per cent, while Japan's Nikkei closed up 0.9 per cent, after hitting a 14-month high, as a weaker yen helped exporters.

The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of six major currencies, was up 0.3 per cent, at seven-week highs.

The dollar has strengthened even as many analysts see limited further gains for the currency due to worries about the impact of higher rates and a stronger dollar on global growth.

The greenback was last up 0.64 per cent against the Japanese yen at 114.43, the highest since February 15, while the euro fell 0.3 per cent to $1.0516.

In fixed income markets, US Treasury yields pushed higher on the prospect of higher rates. US 2-year yields extended their climb and hit their highest since Aug 2009 of 1.32 per cent while 3-year yield hit a nearly 11-week high of 1.598 per cent. The 10-yr yield hit a 2-week high of 2.49 per cent.

Oil prices fell for a third consecutive day after a record build-up in US crude inventories and data showing Russian oil production was unchanged last month. Brent crude fell 1.6 per cent to $55.46 a barrel while US crude was down 1.6 per cent at $52.97.

The dollar put metals prices under pressure. Copper fell 1.3 per cent to $5,941 a tonne while gold fell 0.6 per cent to $1,240.66 an ounce.
*Subscribe to Business Standard digital and get complimentary access to The New York Times

Smart Quarterly

₹900

3 Months

₹300/Month

SAVE 25%

Smart Essential

₹2,700

1 Year

₹225/Month

SAVE 46%
*Complimentary New York Times access for the 2nd year will be given after 12 months

Super Saver

₹3,900

2 Years

₹162/Month

Subscribe

Renews automatically, cancel anytime

Here’s what’s included in our digital subscription plans

Exclusive premium stories online

  • Over 30 premium stories daily, handpicked by our editors

Complimentary Access to The New York Times

  • News, Games, Cooking, Audio, Wirecutter & The Athletic

Business Standard Epaper

  • Digital replica of our daily newspaper — with options to read, save, and share

Curated Newsletters

  • Insights on markets, finance, politics, tech, and more delivered to your inbox

Market Analysis & Investment Insights

  • In-depth market analysis & insights with access to The Smart Investor

Archives

  • Repository of articles and publications dating back to 1997

Ad-free Reading

  • Uninterrupted reading experience with no advertisements

Seamless Access Across All Devices

  • Access Business Standard across devices — mobile, tablet, or PC, via web or app

More From This Section

First Published: Mar 02 2017 | 10:41 PM IST

Next Story