Budget 2022: Slashed asset sale target raises questions about LIC IPO

'We should not conjecture on size of LIC IPO as valuation still underway,' says DIPAM Secretary

India sharply reduced its asset-sale targets, raising questions about how much it plans to raise from the marquee initial public offering of its biggest state insurer.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s government on Tuesday announced it estimates Rs 78,000 crore from divestment in the year through March 31, much lower than the Rs 1.75 trillion budgeted earlier. It has already raised Rs 12,000 crore by selling stakes in other companies. 

For the next financial year, the target is Rs 65,000 crore.

That raises the question about whether the government has downgraded expectations from the IPO of Life Insurance Corporation of India, is staggering the share sale, or is merely being conservative with estimates until the money is actually raised. The IPO is expected “soon,” Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman said in her budget speech, without elaborating.

“It appears as if the inflows from the LIC listing have been split over fiscal years 2022 and 2023,” said Aditi Nayar, an economist at Icra Ltd.

As recently as last week, Department of Investment and Public Asset Management Secretary Tuhin Kanta Pandey had told the Press Trust of India that India plans to list LIC by March and include the proceeds in the budget numbers. 

"We should not conjecture on size of LIC IPO as valuation still underway," said Pandey at a post-Budget press conference on Tuesday.

For almost two years, India has steeled itself for a gargantuan task: readying the country’s premier insurer -- with nearly $500 billion in assets and a valuation estimated as high as $203 billion -- for what could become its biggest-ever stock listing. A knock-out listing could see LIC raise as much as $10 billion from the IPO with a minimum dilution of 5%.