After January’s bond market turmoil, triggered by geopolitical events, large-ticket issuers are rushing to raise funds now that the Reserve Bank of India (RBI)’s policy decision and the FY26 Union Budget are out of the way. Despite rising corporate bond yields due to tight liquidity and increased supply, firms are set to raise over ₹30,000 crore this week, with more expected in the coming weeks.
On Tuesday, the National Housing Bank (NHB) raised ₹4,800 crore at 7.35 per cent through seven-year bonds. It had aimed to raise ₹5,000 crore, with a ₹1,000 crore base issue and a ₹4,000 crore green shoe option. Meanwhile, REC secured ₹1,995 crore at 7.99 per cent via perpetual bonds, slightly below its ₹2,000 crore target.
“In January, most issuers waited for two key events — the RBI’s monetary policy review and the Union Budget. The expectation was that a rate cut and measures towards easing liquidity, along with borrowing numbers and a fiscal road map, would help soften yields. With events both now behind us, issuers are moving swiftly to complete planned borrowings before the financial year ends,” said Ajay Manglunia, MD & head-fixed income, InCred Capital Financial Services.
The flood of bond issuances has driven corporate bond yields higher compared to January, when supply was scarce. A tight liquidity situation has also pushed up government securities (G-sec) yields, exerting further upward pressure on corporate bonds. G-sec yields have risen by at least five basis points since the RBI’s policy meeting, where the six-member Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) cut the repo rate by 25 basis points.
January’s extreme bond yield volatility was largely due to global uncertainty emanating from Donald Trump’s return to the White House and fluctuations in US Treasury yields, noted Venkatakrishnan Srinivasan, founder and managing partner at Rockfort Fincap LLP. Many issuers delayed borrowing, creating pent-up supply that is now flooding the market.
With March typically bringing tight liquidity due to financial year-end tax outflows and increased bond issuance, issuers are rushing to raise funds before the market gets crowded, ensuring they secure funding without facing aggressive pricing pressures, Srinivasan said.
Meanwhile, the gap between yields on government securities and AAA-rated corporate bonds has widened to 35-40 basis points, up from 20-25 basis points last year, indicating a hardening of yields even for higher-rated issuers. Market participants also observed a steepening yield curve, with short-term yields holding steady while long-term yields have climbed.
“While institutional investors have shown strong interest consistently in large-ticket issuances, they remain yield-sensitive in February, often comparing corporate bond yields with state development loans (SDLs). This has resulted in many issuers accepting only partial subscriptions, forcing them to return to the market with follow-on issuances to meet their funding targets,” Srinivasan added.
As March nears, the interplay between bond supply, liquidity constraints, external risks, and investor appetite will be crucial in shaping yield movements.