More even rainfall this year: IMD

The India Meteorological Department(IMD) believes that the rains this year is likely to be distributed evenly across geographical regions and across the four months of the monsoon.

The department is more confident of a normal monsoon this year than in 2012, according to Dr. D. Sivananda Pai who spoke of the weather department’s initial expectations from the monsoon during a concall hosted by brokerage firm Motilal Oswal Securities.

“While this is too early, IMD expects better spatial distribution, although southern states (Kerala and Tamil Nadu) and north-west bordering Pakistan may receive less rainfall. It also expects more-even rainfall across four months of the season, including normal rainfall for middle months,” said the report authored by Dipankar Mitrain a report dated 7 May.

The report entitled ‘IMD more confident of normal monsoon’ noted that some factors could contribute to the chance of a ‘below normal’ event too.

“…some bias towards 'below normal' has been built into the condition due to - i) the last few months middle latitude activity has been quite prevalent and ii) there is a chance of negative Indian Ocean dipole - both of which generally is expected to have negative impact on rainfall,” said the report.