Asia’s third-biggest economy would like to boost the amount of ethanol in gasoline to 20% in a decade from 6% now to cut its dependence on foreign oil, which is currently more than 80%. India vies with Brazil as the world’s top sugar producer, and has seen how its rival has run a program for decades to use huge amounts of ethanol in fuel, replacing oil and supporting sugar prices.
Ethanol availability from sugar mills and grain-based producers for oil refiners will probably remain flat at 1.9 billion liters in the 12 months starting Dec. 1, compared with the previous year, said Verma. The Uttar Pradesh government recently announced a further increase in the quota of molasses that needs to be supplied to liquor makers to 18% of total state output from 16%. It was 12.5% in early September. “Mills in Uttar Pradesh could have offered more ethanol for blending with petrol if the restriction on the sale of molasses wasn’t there,” said Verma.
The so-called C-heavy molasses used for alcohol is selling for about 5,000 rupees a ton in Uttar Pradesh in the open market, compared with around 750 rupees for purchases by liquor manufacturers, according to the association. Sugar mills need to invest 100 billion rupees ($1.4 billion) to boost ethanol manufacturing capacity to 6 billion liters, from 3.55 billion liters at present, Verma said. They would be required to invest an additional 250 billion rupees to further boost capacity to 12 billion liters. What’s happening in Uttar Pradesh could discourage investment, according to Verma.
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