 "Congress catching up in Delhi: ABP News-Nielsen poll")
The Aam Aadmi Party (AAP)'s popularity is declining sharply in Delhi but it is still attracting enough voters to win three of the national capital's seven Lok Sabha seats, says a ABP News-Nielsen opinion poll result, issued on Thursday.
The survey says the Congress party is rapidly recovering the voter base it had lost earlier to the AAP; this could enable it to win one seat. The Bharatiya Janata Party has also improved marginally, possibly enough to win three seats.
They would announce opinion poll results for the rest of the country over the next two days. The error margin is a range of five per cent, both ways.
The poll's January survey had found AAP's vote share to be a as high as 55 per cent; this dipped to 49 per cent in a February poll. It had then forecast AAP's victory in six of Delhi's seven seats, with the BJP likely to get one.
However, the current poll, done between March 9 and 16, polling 456 people, predicts a sharp drop in AAP's vote share to 34 per cent. While, that of the Congress had risen from nine per cent in January to 14 per cent in February and 28 per cent in the latest survey.
The survey says the Congress party is rapidly recovering the voter base it had lost earlier to the AAP; this could enable it to win one seat. The Bharatiya Janata Party has also improved marginally, possibly enough to win three seats.
They would announce opinion poll results for the rest of the country over the next two days. The error margin is a range of five per cent, both ways.
The poll's January survey had found AAP's vote share to be a as high as 55 per cent; this dipped to 49 per cent in a February poll. It had then forecast AAP's victory in six of Delhi's seven seats, with the BJP likely to get one.
However, the current poll, done between March 9 and 16, polling 456 people, predicts a sharp drop in AAP's vote share to 34 per cent. While, that of the Congress had risen from nine per cent in January to 14 per cent in February and 28 per cent in the latest survey.
The surveys in January and February found AAP's popularity to have peaked during the time it had a government in Delhi. This started declining after it quit the Delhi government in mid-February but is still better than its two major rivals.
In sum, the survey predicts a better performance for both BJP and Congress than it had estimated in earlier polls. It says BJP's vote share improved from 29 per cent in January to 30 per cent in February to 32 per cent now - possibly enough, as mentioned, for three seats. The party vote share in Delhi was 35.1 per cent in the 2009 Lok Sabha elections, when it won none of the seven seats. In that election, the Congress took all seven seats, with a vote share of 57.1 per cent.
In sum, the survey predicts a better performance for both BJP and Congress than it had estimated in earlier polls. It says BJP's vote share improved from 29 per cent in January to 30 per cent in February to 32 per cent now - possibly enough, as mentioned, for three seats. The party vote share in Delhi was 35.1 per cent in the 2009 Lok Sabha elections, when it won none of the seven seats. In that election, the Congress took all seven seats, with a vote share of 57.1 per cent.
You’ve reached your limit of {{free_limit}} free articles this month.
Subscribe now for unlimited access.
Already subscribed? Log in
Subscribe to read the full story →*Subscribe to Business Standard digital and get complimentary access to The New York Times
Smart Quarterly
₹900
3 Months
₹300/Month
SAVE 25%
Smart Essential
₹2,700
1 Year
₹225/Month
SAVE 46%
*Complimentary New York Times access for the 2nd year will be given after 12 months
Super Saver
₹3,900
2 Years
₹162/Month
Subscribe
Renews automatically, cancel anytime
Here’s what’s included in our digital subscription plans
Exclusive premium stories online
Over 30 premium stories daily, handpicked by our editors
Complimentary Access to The New York Times
News, Games, Cooking, Audio, Wirecutter & The Athletic
Business Standard Epaper
Digital replica of our daily newspaper — with options to read, save, and share
Curated Newsletters
Insights on markets, finance, politics, tech, and more delivered to your inbox
Market Analysis & Investment Insights
In-depth market analysis & insights with access to The Smart Investor
Archives
Repository of articles and publications dating back to 1997
Ad-free Reading
Uninterrupted reading experience with no advertisements
Seamless Access Across All Devices
Access Business Standard across devices — mobile, tablet, or PC, via web or app
SAVE 25%