Fitch Ratings presages slowdown in reforms

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| The agency added that the new government would not arrest structural economic reforms. Pointing to NDA's defeat, Fitch said this is a measure of the extent to which the majority of the population feel untouched by reforms. |
| "To date, liberalisation has mainly benefited the middle classes, but they comprise only 10-15 per cent of the population," said Fitch sovereign ratings senior director Paul Rawkins. |
| India's long-term rating is 'BB+', its short-term rating is 'B' and its long-term local currency rating is 'BB+', with the overall outlook being stable. |
| Fitch stated that while India's sovereign ratings have been constrained by shortcomings in the fiscal arena, with government deficits exceeding 80 per cent of gross domestic product (GDP). |
| Fitch pressed that raising revenues will be essential if electoral promises by Congress and its allies of free electricity and rural debt forgiveness are not to undermine state government finances. |
| "While it remains to be seen how a Congress-led coalition would tackle this challenge, it is notable that Congress has been a strong supporter of the Kelkar committee's recommendations on tax reform. This is in contrast to the National Democratic Alliance, which implemented relatively few of this body's recommendations," stated Fitch in a press statement. |
| On the other hand, Fitch said that NDA's track record of structural economic reforms has been an impressive one and Congress will have to work hard to match it. |
First Published: May 15 2004 | 12:00 AM IST