Gold hits 5-month low on strong dollar, Treasury yields

The dollar rose to an 11-month high while yields on the US 10-year Treasury notes climbed to their highest since January at 2.2 per cent

Gold edged lower on Monday, hovering just above an earlier five-month low, as the dollar and Treasury yields strengthened on expectations that President-elect Donald Trump will boost US spending.
 
“Gold is suffering from an irrational dollar rally on expectations Trump’s fiscal policies will boost spending and therefore inflation, which could lead to higher US interest rates,” said ActivTrades chief analyst Carlo Alberto de Casa.
 
“However, uncertainty about the US economic outlook and also about international risk events such as the Austrian presidential election and the Italian constitutional referendum next month could have an impact on wider markets and impact gold’s trading in the medium term.”

 

Spot gold was down 0.2 per cent at $1,223.51 an ounce by 1231 GMT. The metal fell one per cent to $1,212.26 an ounce earlier in the session, its lowest since June 3.  US gold futures were down 0.1 per cent at $1,222.20 an ounce.
 
The dollar rose to an 11-month high against a basket of major peers, while yields on the US 10-year Treasury notes climbed to their highest since January at 2.2 per cent.
 
A broad sell-off in global commodities and surging bond yields had seen the metal dipping nearly three per cent in the previous session.

 
"People seem to have unwound their Trump-risk and are now talking more about 'Trumpflation'," said Jeffrey Halley, senior market analyst at OANDA.
 
"The rate hike in December is an absolute done deal now." The market is now betting on the Federal Reserve raising interest rates more quickly.
 
Higher US interest rates could lift the opportunity cost of holding non-interest-bearing gold.
 
Fed Vice Chair Stanley Fischer said on Friday that US economic growth prospects appeared strong enough for the Fed to proceed with a gradual increase in interest rates.
 
"We are still negative on gold short-term in light of a stronger dollar, rising rates and rising equities," said INTL FCStone analyst Edward Meir.

 
SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, said its holdings fell 0.76 per cent to 934.56 tonnes on Friday.
 
Silver fell 0.7 per cent to $17.21 an ounce, after touching its lowest since June 9 at $17.00 in earlier trade.
 
Platinum was down 0.1 per cent at $939.40, while palladium was unchanged at $672.22 an ounce.