If retail is dying, why is money pouring into malls?

If you are one of those people who thinks America’s retail industry is doing just fine, well, there are three possibilities: You’ve been living under a rock; you think Amazon refers to a South American river; or you’re a real estate developer.  
 
As everything from once-mighty department stores to niche clothing chains announce plans to shutter hundreds of locations, and retailers file for bankruptcies at a record pace, builders are pouring growing sums into retail projects.
 
Across the country, construction spending on shopping centres topped $1.6 billion in June, the largest amount since 2008 and the Great Recession. Builders have been especially busy working on malls, spending $404 million in April. In nominal terms, that’s the second highest monthly total ever.  

 

So at a time when news headlines are full of store-closings, and the internet is methodically destroying any experience that involves parking lots, fitting rooms, or cash registers, why on Earth are we still building more retail space? 
 
First, it’s worth pointing out that this isn’t an entirely new dynamic. For the last two decades, retail development has outpaced population growth in most big metropolitan areas. That’s partly due to over-exuberance, and partly in response to evolving consumer demand and competition. More recently, mall owners have been spending money to renovate existing properties in a bid to draw foot traffic. That often means demolishing excess space and making improvements to create room for restaurants and other attractions in a last ditch effort to prolong the life of “brick-and-mortar” retail. 

 
There are other reasons too. A growing preference for building near urban centres may be inflating construction costs by forcing developers to pay more for labour and land. Markets that are thriving today might not have enough retail, while areas that supported shopping centres decades ago no longer offer retailers the same opportunities.
 
Taken together, though, the forces driving construction spending on shopping centres in the near-term offer a pithy reminder: Even as stores shutter, and the shift to online shopping gains steam, brick-and-mortar isn’t going to disappear all at once.