Smartphone apps to blame for low US inflation: BlackRock bond manager

Some of the recent pullback in inflation also stemmed from lower energy price

Image
Reuters
Last Updated : Jun 22 2017 | 7:58 AM IST
Americans' love of their smartphones and apps may be contributing to the sluggish pace of inflation that is worrying Wall Street and the Federal Reserve, a top bond manager at BlackRock, the world's biggest asset manager, said on Wednesday.

Consumers are relying less and less on devices such as cameras, radios and televisions, and services such as taxis and stores, replacing them with programs in their iPhones and other high-end phones, according to Rick Rieder, BlackRock's chief investment officer of global fixed income.

Companies like Amazon.com Inc, Netflix Inc and Uber Technologies Inc have enticed consumers with convenience and low prices through their phones. As a result, they have upended traditional retailers, entertainment outlets and transportation services, Rieder said in an article published on Wednesday.

"Technological innovation is disrupting traditional business models of many industries, putting a lid on prices and influencing inflation in the economy overall," he wrote.

The core rate of the consumer price index, the US government's broadest inflation gauge, increased 1.7 percent year-on-year in May, the smallest such rise since May 2015, the Labor Department said last week.

On Monday, Chicago Federal Reserve President Charles Evans, when asked about Amazon's proposed $13.7 billion buyout of up-market grocer Whole Foods Market Inc at an event in New York, said new competitors with a technological edge entering in major industries pose possible long-term implications that inflation will remain low.

Some of the recent pullback in inflation also stemmed from lower energy prices resulting from global oversupply, analysts said.

The recent softening of inflation has raised speculation on the timing on the U.S. central bank's next rate increase. A few policymakers including Evans have said it may be worthwhile for the Fed to wait until year-end before considering another rate hike.

Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker told the Financial Times the Fed should defer its next hike until December.

In the meantime, this technological shift will likely persist, Rieder said, making it difficult for inflation to meet the Fed's 2 percent target, which policymakers deem optimal to support stable economic growth.

"This is an increasingly challenging paradigm to execute upon today in the more modern commerce era we live in," Rieder said. "We believe both investors and policymakers need to abandon an overly rigid view of price change."

One subscription. Two world-class reads.

Already subscribed? Log in

Subscribe to read the full story →
*Subscribe to Business Standard digital and get complimentary access to The New York Times

Smart Quarterly

₹900

3 Months

₹300/Month

SAVE 25%

Smart Essential

₹2,700

1 Year

₹225/Month

SAVE 46%
*Complimentary New York Times access for the 2nd year will be given after 12 months

Super Saver

₹3,900

2 Years

₹162/Month

Subscribe

Renews automatically, cancel anytime

Here’s what’s included in our digital subscription plans

Exclusive premium stories online

  • Over 30 premium stories daily, handpicked by our editors

Complimentary Access to The New York Times

  • News, Games, Cooking, Audio, Wirecutter & The Athletic

Business Standard Epaper

  • Digital replica of our daily newspaper — with options to read, save, and share

Curated Newsletters

  • Insights on markets, finance, politics, tech, and more delivered to your inbox

Market Analysis & Investment Insights

  • In-depth market analysis & insights with access to The Smart Investor

Archives

  • Repository of articles and publications dating back to 1997

Ad-free Reading

  • Uninterrupted reading experience with no advertisements

Seamless Access Across All Devices

  • Access Business Standard across devices — mobile, tablet, or PC, via web or app

Next Story