Oil dips on US production uptick; analysts say 'don't expect steep decline'

Oil prices fell on Friday on a bounce-back in US production, but ongoing declines in crude inventories curbed losses in the market.

Brent crude futures were at $68.78 at 0128 GMT, down 53 cents, or 0.8 per cent, from their last close. On Monday, they hit their highest since December, 2014 at $70.37 a barrel.

US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were at $63.36 a barrel, down 59 cents, or 0.9 percent, from their last settlement. WTI marked a December-2014 peak of $64.89 a barrel on Tuesday.

Traders said the lower prices were prompted by a recovery in US oil production after a recent drop, as well as by an expected fall in demand when winter ends in the northern hemisphere.

U.S. crude oil production stood at 9.75 million barrels per day (bpd) on January 12, data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) showed.

Output had fallen to 9.49 million barrels at the start of the year, due largely to a cold snap that shut down some production.

Most analysts expect US output to break through 10 million barrels per day soon.

Analysts also pointed to excessive long positions in financial oil markets as a likely brake on any upward momentum in prices, with many traders soon likely to cash in on recent price rises, which saw crude jump by around 14 per cent since early December.

"An upcoming soft patch in demand and extreme investors positioning does open up the possibility of some short-term weakness," ANZ bank said.

Overall, however, oil prices remain well supported, and most analysts do not expect steep declines.

The main price driver has been a production cut by a group of major oil producers around the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and Russia, who started to withhold production in January last year.

The supply cuts by OPEC and its allies, which are scheduled to last throughout 2018, were aimed at tightening the market in order to prop up prices.

In the United States, crude inventories fell 6.9 million barrels in the week to Jan. 12, to 412.65 million barrels.

That's their lowest seasonal level in three years and below the five-year average marker around 420 million barrels.