The public debt (excluding liabilities under the 'Public Account') of the Central Government provisionally increased by 2.1 per cent in Q3 of FY 15 on Q-o-Q basis as compared with an increase of 2.3 per cent in the previous quarter (Q2 of FY15). Internal debt constituted 91.9 per cent of public debt as at end-December 2014, while marketable securities accounted for 84.7 per cent of public debt. About 26.5 per cent of outstanding stock has a residual maturity of up to 5 years, which implies that over the next five years, on an average, 5.3 per cent of outstanding stock needs to be rolled over every year. Thus, the rollover risk in the debt portfolio continues to be low. The implementation of budgeted buy back/ switches in coming years is expected to reduce roll over risk further.
G-Securities marched upward during the quarter, following its upward trend since mid-August 2014 The G-Sec market opened Q3 on positive sentiment on expectations of low inflation number as crude continued its downward fall. The momentum was bolstered by continually declining oil prices, which has salutary impact on both fiscal and current account deficit situation. Market also welcomed announcement of diesel price deregulation by the government. US Fed concluded its last tranche of USD 15 billion bond buying program in last week of October 2014, and reiterated its guidance to keep federal fund rates at near zero level for a considerable time. Market saw intermeeting corrections on profit taking on long rallies, OMO sales from RBI, etc., during mid-November and traded in a range for rest of the month. Overall bonds yields moderated across the curve, compared to previous quarter and the yield curve flattened at the longer end of the curve. Trading volumes, on an outright basis, were higher by 44.55 per cent over the previous quarter, due to higher trading on account of Central government dated securities. The annualised outright turnover ratio for Central government dated securities for Q3 of FY15 increased to 10.47 from 8.27 during the previous quarter.
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