The growth of 33 per cent in 2012-13 is over the corresponding period of the previous year. If we project this growth for 2012-13 on a purely proportionate basis, then the collection of service tax will be Rs 1,08,000 crore. However, the collection in the last quarter is usually 25 per cent more than the average of first three quarters. So, predictably, it should be Rs 1,20,000 crore which will be more than the collection in 2011-12 by about 25 per cent only and 33 per cent, as estimated in the Economic Survey for nine months. So the trend is not encouraging.
The growth of the service sector in India is impressive compared with other BRICS countries - Brazil, Russia, China and South Africa. A break-up of the services in India shows that public administration and defence is 6.1 per cent in 2011-12 which is not taxed. Construction is 8.2 per cent which is not much taxed. Financing and the real estate sector, which is 16.6 per cent, enjoy substantial exemption.
Another reason for lack of growth of revenue from service tax is the threshold of Rs 10 lakh, under which all small services fall. Tax revenue from service tax in 2007-08 as a percentage of gross domestic product was 1.0 and in 2012-13 it stands at 1.2 per cent. It is hardly any substantial improvement.
The conclusion is that the only way to improve the revenue from service tax is to remove exemption and to bring the whole service sector under the tax net, though I do not recommend the increase in the threshold limit.
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