According to estimates, Congress is likely to get 110 to 116 seats in the elections in the 224-member House, polling for which was held today, while ruling BJP may get between 43 and 53.
H D Deve Gowda-led JD(S) is also likely to get 43 to 53 seats, as per prediction revised by the channel following change in several political factors, including faulty choice of candidates by Congress and infighting in it.
Others are likely to get 16-24 seats.
In the current Assembly, BJP has 110 MLAs - three short of majority - and rules the state with help of five Independent MLAs who were inducted into the Ministry. Congress has 80 seats and JD(S) 28.
Earlier, CNN-IBN and The Week had conducted a pre-poll survey on Karnataka in the second week of April and projected that Congress is likely to get 117-129 seats, BJP 39-49, JD(S) 34-44 and others 14-22.
A statement said CNN-IBN revised the projection taking into account various factors like faulty choice of candidates by Congress leading to unhappiness within the party and open and subtle opposition to the official nominee and infighting between prominent leaders of Congress.
The channel also took note of the "absence of a well- orchestrated and coordinated campaign, consolidation of Vokkaliga vote behind the JD(S) in southern Karnataka and Bangalore rural, split in Lingayat vote between BJP and KJP in northern Karnataka, resulting in an advantage for Congress."
It also said there was a strong impact of double anti-incumbency against BJP - against government and against individual MLAs, many of whom have completed 2 or 3 terms, in coastal Karnataka that has worked to the advantage of Congress.
You’ve reached your limit of {{free_limit}} free articles this month.
Subscribe now for unlimited access.
Already subscribed? Log in
Subscribe to read the full story →
Smart Quarterly
₹900
3 Months
₹300/Month
Smart Essential
₹2,700
1 Year
₹225/Month
Super Saver
₹3,900
2 Years
₹162/Month
Renews automatically, cancel anytime
Here’s what’s included in our digital subscription plans
Exclusive premium stories online
Over 30 premium stories daily, handpicked by our editors


Complimentary Access to The New York Times
News, Games, Cooking, Audio, Wirecutter & The Athletic
Business Standard Epaper
Digital replica of our daily newspaper — with options to read, save, and share


Curated Newsletters
Insights on markets, finance, politics, tech, and more delivered to your inbox
Market Analysis & Investment Insights
In-depth market analysis & insights with access to The Smart Investor


Archives
Repository of articles and publications dating back to 1997
Ad-free Reading
Uninterrupted reading experience with no advertisements


Seamless Access Across All Devices
Access Business Standard across devices — mobile, tablet, or PC, via web or app
)