"Whatever assumptions we made in terms of oil prices and other commodity prices, subsequently what we see now is that the prices have come off even more. So, the disinflationary process would see a bit stronger than what the last policy had done," Mohanty, whose remit includes the crucial monetary policy department, said at a conference.
The price of Indian crude basket has fallen to a low of around USD 81 a barrel as against USD 108.05 in May end.
He had said the target of getting consumer price inflation to 8 per cent by January 2015 was more certain, while the risks to the January 2016 target of 6 per cent had subsided.
It can be noted that the RBI has been very vocal with its resolve to contain inflation in a decisive manner and has been holding on to elevated rates to achieve this objective even at the cost of criticism from the pro-growth lobby, which wants a rate cut.
Mohanty said the lower crude prices, coupled with a stable currency has helped reduce the inflation. However, he expressed caution, saying we should not be "overly joyous" stating that the 6.46 per cent number will rise further soon.
"There is a base effect in that and we should not be overly joyous over the fact that we are at 6.5 per cent, but it could slightly go up as we go down the line," he said.
You’ve reached your limit of {{free_limit}} free articles this month.
Subscribe now for unlimited access.
Already subscribed? Log in
Subscribe to read the full story →
Smart Quarterly
₹900
3 Months
₹300/Month
Smart Essential
₹2,700
1 Year
₹225/Month
Super Saver
₹3,900
2 Years
₹162/Month
Renews automatically, cancel anytime
Here’s what’s included in our digital subscription plans
Exclusive premium stories online
Over 30 premium stories daily, handpicked by our editors


Complimentary Access to The New York Times
News, Games, Cooking, Audio, Wirecutter & The Athletic
Business Standard Epaper
Digital replica of our daily newspaper — with options to read, save, and share


Curated Newsletters
Insights on markets, finance, politics, tech, and more delivered to your inbox
Market Analysis & Investment Insights
In-depth market analysis & insights with access to The Smart Investor


Archives
Repository of articles and publications dating back to 1997
Ad-free Reading
Uninterrupted reading experience with no advertisements


Seamless Access Across All Devices
Access Business Standard across devices — mobile, tablet, or PC, via web or app
