'Fragile Five' - new catchphrase to describe emerging markets

Image
Press Trust of India New York
Last Updated : Jan 29 2014 | 3:19 PM IST
Emerging markets like India, South Africa and Brazil are being described as 'Fragile Five' by a global investment banker for their over dependence on skittish foreign investment to finance their growth ambitions.
The new catchphrase 'Fragile Five' is being used to describe markets which have witnessed economic turmoil in recent years, a rival to the term BRICs that had highlighted the long-term growth potential of Brazil, India, South Africa, Russia and China.
A report in the New York Times said the 'Fragile Five' has been coined by a research analyst at Morgan Stanley which identifies Turkey, Brazil, India, South Africa and Indonesia as "economies that have become too dependent on skittish foreign investment to finance their growth ambitions."
It said that the term 'Fragile Five' has caught on in large degree as it highlights the "strains that occur when countries place too much emphasis on stoking fast rates of economic growth".
The new catchphrase is also raising pressing questions about not just the state of the BRICs economy but about emerging markets in general.
The term coined by Morgan Stanley became a quick and easy way for investors to give voice to fears of a broader emerging markets rout, propelled by runs on the Turkish lira, Brazilian real and South African rand.
Morgan Stanley currency analyst James Lord sent out last August a research note warning of the risks within the "fragile five".
The name spread quickly, especially among investors already nervous about their emerging-market holdings.
Lord and his team at Morgan Stanley have been playing down his original thesis.
"We have been using the term less and less in our research," he said, explaining that responses by policy makers in these countries have to some extent addressed the issues he raised.
Jim O'Neill, an economist at Goldman Sachs, who had coined the term BRICs in late 2001, said he still believes these markets are the "best investment opportunities in the world.
*Subscribe to Business Standard digital and get complimentary access to The New York Times

Smart Quarterly

₹900

3 Months

₹300/Month

SAVE 25%

Smart Essential

₹2,700

1 Year

₹225/Month

SAVE 46%
*Complimentary New York Times access for the 2nd year will be given after 12 months

Super Saver

₹3,900

2 Years

₹162/Month

Subscribe

Renews automatically, cancel anytime

Here’s what’s included in our digital subscription plans

Exclusive premium stories online

  • Over 30 premium stories daily, handpicked by our editors

Complimentary Access to The New York Times

  • News, Games, Cooking, Audio, Wirecutter & The Athletic

Business Standard Epaper

  • Digital replica of our daily newspaper — with options to read, save, and share

Curated Newsletters

  • Insights on markets, finance, politics, tech, and more delivered to your inbox

Market Analysis & Investment Insights

  • In-depth market analysis & insights with access to The Smart Investor

Archives

  • Repository of articles and publications dating back to 1997

Ad-free Reading

  • Uninterrupted reading experience with no advertisements

Seamless Access Across All Devices

  • Access Business Standard across devices — mobile, tablet, or PC, via web or app

More From This Section

First Published: Jan 29 2014 | 3:19 PM IST

Next Story