Camp Century, a US military base built within the Greenland ice sheet in 1959, doubled as a top-secret site for testing the feasibility of deploying nuclear missiles from the Arctic during the Cold War.
When the camp was decommissioned in 1967, its infrastructure and waste were abandoned under the assumption they would be entombed forever by perpetual snowfall.
"Two generations ago, people were interring waste in different areas of the world, and now climate change is modifying those sites," said William Colgan, a climate and glacier scientist at York University in Canada.
Climate change has warmed the Arctic more than any other region on Earth and the new research has found that the portion of the ice sheet covering Camp Century could start to melt by the end of the century.
If the ice melts, the camp's infrastructure, as well as any remaining biological, chemical and radioactive waste, could re-enter the environment and potentially disrupt nearby ecosystems, researchers said.
The wastes would not remain encased in ice forever, as was assumed by the US and Denmark when the camp was abandoned.
The researchers took an inventory of the wastes at Camp Century and ran climate model simulations. They also analysed historical US army engineering documents to determine where and how deep the wastes were buried and how much that part of the ice cap had moved since the 1960s.
They found the waste at Camp Century covers 55 hectares, roughly the size of 100 football fields.
They estimate the site contains 200,000 litres of diesel fuel, enough for a car to circle the globe 80 times, and 240,000 litres of waste water, including sewage.
Camp Century's waste presents a non-trivial environmental hazard, said Colgan. When the ice melts, pollutants may be transported to the ocean, where they could disrupt marine ecosystems.
"When we looked at the climate simulations, they suggested that rather than perpetual snowfall, the site could transition from having a buildup of snow to having primarily melting conditions as early as 2090," Colgan said.
The study was published in the journal Geophysical Research Letters.
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