Any fall in local prices will affect millers' capacity to pay cane dues to growers.
In view of lower sugar output estimated during the current 2016-17 marketing year, the government had in April allowed import of 5 lakh tonnes of raw sugar at zero duty to boost domestic supply.
"We are monitoring global price movement closely. Prices in the international market are falling and some traders are keen to import even at high customs duty. So, we are considering raising import duty," a senior Food Ministry official told PTI.
Already, 5 lakh tonnes of sugar have been contracted at zero duty and most of it has already arrived, the official said, adding imports were allowed to ensure there are enough supplies in the domestic market.
While the annual sugar demand is about 24-24.5 million tonnes, the domestic output in the 2016-17 season ending October is pegged at little over 21 million tonnes and there is cushion of previous year's stock.
However, the official said, "It is normally imported by refiners for re-export. I don't think it is for domestic use. If contracted for domestic consumption, the shipments will only arrive in next 45 days and whatever taxes ruling then need to be paid."
Meanwhile, the government has asked the industry to maintain the gap between global and domestic prices so that traders are not incentivised to import. "If there are more supplies, then sugar prices will come under pressure," the official said.
The weak trend in international rates is because of excess supplies on account of India's policy of not importing the sweetener plus Brazil planning not to use cane for ethanol, analysts said.
The traders who were holding sugar stocks anticipating India will import have started offloading, pulling down the prices, they added.
In India, wholesale price of sugar is ruling above Rs 32, which is viable for mills, the official said, adding that there is healthy margin for millers to make cane dues to growers.
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