"The RWE reflects the uncertainty regarding the divestments and formation of joint ventures pertaining to Tata Steel's European operations. The recent progress made in negotiations with trade unions in Britain could ease negotiations with potential JV partners and buyers of its British assets," the agency said.
However, it expects to resolve the rating watch by October 2017, after it gains greater clarity on this front.
The RWE indicates the possibility of the ratings being either upgraded, downgraded or affirmed. Net leverage remaining above 4x on a sustained basis could lead to a negative rating action.
Highlighting the key rating drivers, Ind-Ra said Tata Steel's European operations losses had curtailed. The company's European operations generated EBITDA profits in 9MFY17, post the closure of the loss-making long products business in FY16 and its subsequent sale to Greybull Capital in May 2016, as well as the sale of Clydebridge and Dalzell steel plants to the Scottish government in March 2016.
The company is exploring all options for restructuring the European business, including divestment or a joint venture with a steel major. Delay in divestment of the European business leading to net leverage remaining above 4x on a sustained basis (FY16: 9.8x; FY15: 5.9x) may lead to a negative rating action, it said.
Ind-Ra views this as a positive development as the company's large pension liabilities and the nature of its pension plan in UK operations were some of the key impediments to its efforts towards divestments and formation of JVs.
However, regarding a solution for the legacy pension scheme, TSL is in negotiations and the exercise may require a large upfront payment. The agency awaits more clarity on the issue.
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